Just watching the Sat pics, I think the westward jog IS happening... Irma is sort of hugging the island of Dom Rep. The friction is pulling the center down a little, and scooting it on a more westward vector.
Also looks to me as if the ridge in front is weakening a little... that means; a LATER turn is possible.. Not really great news for South Florida.
“Just watching the Sat pics, I think the westward jog IS happening”
Looks that way to me. Joe Bastardi appears to be right on target. As stated bad news for South Florida if this holds.
I am about 40 miles north of Atlanta and that cold front has brought blue skies and cooler temps into the state.. to be in the 50’s tonight. To continue to at least Saturday. It could change which direction Irma turns. I’ve seen a high keep strong storms at bay.. I just can’t see Irma pushing the high back north and west. However, it looks huge and it looks dangerous.