I’m just not liking this... it’s a timing thing:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/11L/imagery/20170908_1815Z-rbtop.gif
A robust annular area of convection, denoted by black on the graphic, presumably scooped up while Irma’s southern quadrants had access to deep warm water while passing between Haiti and Cuba.
It’s already wrapped around the core, available energy for the next 12 to 24 hours as it tightens, diminishing any benefit we might have expected from Cuba’s landmass blocking moisture advection from the warmer side of the circulation.
If applicable here, we’d expect to see intensification beyond the model forecasts.
Davie FL man (Broward County) fell 15ft to his death today. He fell off a ladder while attempting to board up his 2nd floor.
I believe this is what Bastardi has been talking about for a day or two..last minute drop in pressure and feeding on hot water.