Posted on 09/07/2017 8:09:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse
No commercial flights in or out, the airport was too badly damaged. The only planes able to get there are seaplanes.
There aren’t many places intact enough to shelter in, and the few there are are swamped with people. They’re doing what they can, and helping people when possible, but Irma has weakened enough buildings that it might not matter that Jose is weaker.
Nope, not them. But thank you.
If you see one with Steve and Kati, and they’re doing stuff instead of sitting there, then that’ll be them :)
I agree with you and counting on this..
I don’t know. I do know some smart people here are worried.
...But it must start going in that NW direction soon. Hopefully overnight that 290 degree track can go to something approaching 300 degrees or greater.
Right now it is at 285.
If it does go directly up the center of Florida staring at a point West of Florida city, then the eye would pass over sparsely populated area. Actually mostly Everglades National Park. If you have ever driven from Miami to Naples the center of Florida from about 20 miles inland on each side is just...Everglades.
That would get rid of the pythons-——or blow them someplace else.:-)
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110-115 mph in our area, we lost a patio roof and a couple of trees but the house rode it out like a champ. Hope that's a good sign for you!
Just an FYI, this could effect a lot more than people are expecting. Time will tel where actual land fall and the subsequent path will be. However... This run could also result in very high inland wind/gusts into ga, sc and the mountains. It would appear winds will be enhanced by the fact of wedging/high over the northeast. Euro was showing 10 meter winds gusting as high as 75 to 90mph over all of ga/sc and this run of the gfs would likely be even worse since the track remains closer to the coast (less weakening vs an inland track) yet the low ends up near atlanta by 105. So widespread power outages are likely well inland...including atlanta. Such a track would also make for significantly higher storm surge along the ga/lower sc coast. A 18z gfs track is about as bad as it gets.
NHC best intstenity model
someone please post the pic
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hwrf/2017090718/hwrf_satIR_11L_12.png
While riding out Rita, I asked my grandson how he was doing? If he was scared? He said he wasn't afraid. He just wished that ghost would shut up, it was getting on his nerves!
Gonna be a least a few insurance companies bankrupted by this.
The only good part about going up the spine is that it could make landfall in the everglades. Eye wall damage there would be minimal, but the Keys will probably be cut off for awhile. They estimate it would be Cat 1 when crossing into Georgia. CAT 3 or 2 over Orlando. Add the twisters to that mix and big trouble.
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Wife & Kids where just in the Madison area to see my mom. We miss real cheese, they stopped in Beloit on the way to Missouri to see other family. They got stale Curds. Yuck!!!
So widespread power outages are likely well inland...including atlanta.
I’ve got a lot of neighbors evacuating to Georgia. Big mistake, IMO. We’re headed to Alabama in the AM and will be out of the cone.
Thanks!!
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