[NautiNurse]

Evacuation orders are announced by each county emergency management services.

Here is a link for Broward County Emergency Services Twitter.

[alancarp]

Model performance scores... from 2010, so your mileage may vary (as models have been modified since this).

The takeaway I have from this is that the best results seem to be gleaned at 72 hours away from the forecast.

So for a Sunday morning landfall, watch what the models say on Thursday morning.

[Cats Pajamas]

Anyone got the 8:00 update? I’m tied up here in panhandle.

[caww]

Thought these were quite interesting so will post here...

The 0Z September 4, 2017, track forecast by the operational European model for Irma (red line, adjusted by CFAN using a proprietary technique that accounts for storm movement since 0Z), along with the track of the average of the 50 members of the European model ensemble (heavy black line), and the 50 track forecasts from the 0Z Monday European model ensemble forecast (grey lines). Image credit: CFAN.

The 0Z September 2, 2017, track forecast by the operational European model for Irma (red line, adjusted by CFAN using a proprietary technique that accounts for storm movement since 0Z), along with the track of the average of the 50 members of the European model ensemble (heavy black line), and the track forecasts from the “high probability cluster” (grey lines)—the four European model ensemble members that have performed best with Irma thus far. Image credit: CFAN.