[alancarp]

Model performance scores... from 2010, so your mileage may vary (as models have been modified since this).

The takeaway I have from this is that the best results seem to be gleaned at 72 hours away from the forecast.

So for a Sunday morning landfall, watch what the models say on Thursday morning.

[alancarp]

Also noticing that this will be no Harvey: looks like once the ‘right turn’ happens, Irma will get on her I-95 horse and bust it to the maritimes... 2 days from Miami to Nova Scotia and beyond.