Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
Gov. Scott is requesting volunteers to deploy to areas of need.
I really wonder if all this is necessary or if it’s out of fears of what happened with Harvey..even though Irma isn’t standing still for long...and a different storm.
Repeat of Fran? Nah, I would be quite happy if it just weakens and steers off to the east. There is always a certain level of “excitement” as the storm approaches but the reality of the aftermath will shake any excitement right out of you.
Stressing that Irma is bigger and stronger than Hurricane Andrew. There is no reason not to evacuate if ordered to do so.
Actually according to their government statement two of the Islands hit, before the Virgin Islands ,had “minimum damage” and no deaths.
FL is such a big state, with so much coastline, its pretty hard to figure our where exactly to deploy assets and have them waiting. I don't envy the planners.
OMG!!! Right over my house.
Floridians are accustomed to prepare for Hurricanes and other tropical storms. But with the influx of so many foreigners , many who are unfamiliar with Hurricans, will be those who suffer the most if this hits land.
Gov. Scott said some assets are being deployed to assist with evacuations.
We may be seeing what is sometimes referred to as “the windshield wiper effect” with these models. No explanation necessary, I think...
NHC’s caveat’s about the uncertainty of even their “cones” are wise to be heeded.
Also, anyone thinking they will be in a “lesser” portion of the storm has forgotten about the tornados often spawned well away from the eyewall, I suspect.
Mine too
I am wondering what the effects of the mountain range in Puerto Rico will have on Irma.
“caveats”
Thanks soo much mags...so crazy at work no time to check anything on storm...lots of stressed people.
Appreciate it:)
Governor Scott’s presser was quite sober and urgent.
Good advice to repeat.
Here’s a good video video cam of Wind & rain battering the US Virgin Islands currently
https://video.nest.com/embedded/live/uIA8Yuxk18
I keep reading the Irma is a CAT 5 storm, but none of the posted wind speeds come close to the CAT threshold for a CAT 5, which requires sustained winds of at least 156 mph. Irma is still a major hurricane, but has it actually made landfall any place as a CAT 5?
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