Corpus Christi may catch a bit of a break if the eye comes ashore as far east as Rockport.
The evolution of winds over the city will be something like this in that scenario:
now to 8 p.m. NW 50 to 80 mph
8 p.m. to 3 a.m. NW 60 to 100 mph
3 a.m. to 7 a.m. WNW 50 to 90 mph
7 a.m. to noon (Sat) W 40 to 70 mph
and also rainfalls would probably stay below 12” total in the city (on that track).
It would be Beesville to Victoria to Port Lavaca to Port Aransas box taking the worst of the storm in terms of wind, especially the coastal half of that box. And the heaviest rains look to be setting up around Victoria to Beesville and later will spread west towards San Antonio. Not saying Houston is out of the heavy rainfall bands but in terms of very large amounts, would be expecting that closer to Victoria-Beesville.
Did not make clear that with a Rockport landfall, that area would see winds of 110 to 150 mph from the southeast and very severe damage, also a 10 to 15 foot storm surge. This would back up flooding rivers spreading the water rapidly over large areas inland.