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We only have a 5 percent chance of avoiding ‘dangerous’ global warming, a study finds
Washington Post (Amazon) ^ | July 31, 2017 | by Chris Mooney

Posted on 07/31/2017 10:18:19 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

In recent years, it has become increasingly common to frame the climate change problem as a kind of countdown — each year we emit more carbon dioxide, narrowing the window for fixing the problem, but not quite closing it.

This outlook has allowed for climate optimism, in which big changes, someday soon, will make the difference. Christiana Figureres, the former head of the UN's Framework Convention on Climate Change, recently joined with climate scientists and policy wonks to state there are 3 years left to get emissions moving sharply downward.

Yet a battery of recent studies call into question even that limited optimism. Last week, a group of climate researchers published research suggesting the climate has been warming for longer than we thought due to human influences.

The logic is clear: If the Earth has already warmed more than we thought due to human activities, then there’s even less remaining carbon dioxide that we can emit and still avoid 2 degrees of warming.

“There is a lot of uncertainty about the future, our analysis does reflect that, but it also does reflect that the more optimistic scenarios that have been used in targets seem quite unlikely to occur,” said statistician Adrian Wankery of the University of Washington, Seattle.

The upshot of all the latest research is that while limiting warming to 2 degrees is seeming unlikely. And who knows whether in thirty years, negative emissions may appear much more feasible than they do now, providing the option of cooling the planet back down again at some point.

In sum, climate pessimism has indeed had a strong run lately — but you have to keep in context. It’s pessimism that we’ll hit our current goals. It’s not fatalism, or the idea that we’ll accomplish nothing, or that present momentum doesn’t matter.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climatechangefraud; climatechangelies; fakescience; globalism; globalwarming; hoax; socialism
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1 posted on 07/31/2017 10:18:20 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

We have a 0% chance of stopping the next Ice Age.

Breathe harder......./s


2 posted on 07/31/2017 10:19:18 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here Of Citizen Parents - Know Islam, No Peace -No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

Face Palm. NOT this s**t again!


3 posted on 07/31/2017 10:20:13 AM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists Call 'em what you will, they all have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Yep.


4 posted on 07/31/2017 10:20:40 AM PDT by sauropod (I am His and He is Mine)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Wow, all this “research” seems to totally disregard the fact that the data used is the data manipulated by NASA to make the older period LOOK cooler than the raw data, and most recent years LOOK warmer than the raw data. Small details I’m sure!


5 posted on 07/31/2017 10:22:21 AM PDT by winner3000
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Just like HilLIARy had a 98% chance of winning the election


6 posted on 07/31/2017 10:22:23 AM PDT by Mr. K (***THERE IS NO CONSEQUENCE OF REPEALING OBAMACARE THAT IS WORSE THAN OBAMACARE ITSELF***)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

Idle Hemi’s in the driveway.


7 posted on 07/31/2017 10:22:33 AM PDT by rktman (Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

as I heard a Green Part member in Germany say Twenty years ago, “Global Warming is the best vehicle to world Socialism”.


8 posted on 07/31/2017 10:22:48 AM PDT by heights
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Sounds like a bunch of socialist world governnment political science wankery to me.


9 posted on 07/31/2017 10:24:02 AM PDT by Jim Robinson (Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Back in 1942, MGM released a short on Glacier and Waterton National Parks. It stated that the glaciers have been melting since the last Ice Age (12-14000 years ago), and if there is NO CLIMATIC CHANGE, they will soon be gone.

It’s here! You can’t stop it! But then forty years ago we were supposed to have a new Ice Age Now!


10 posted on 07/31/2017 10:24:22 AM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

OH NO! The GubMint B00geymang! RUUUUNNNNN!

11 posted on 07/31/2017 10:24:54 AM PDT by chris37 (Donald J. Trump, Tom Brady, The Patriots... American Destiny!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

12 posted on 07/31/2017 10:25:14 AM PDT by ssaftler ("Keep your hands to yourself, leave other people's things alone, and be kind to one another.")
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Doomed I tell ya, we are doomed and gloomed.


13 posted on 07/31/2017 10:25:17 AM PDT by jazusamo (Have YOU Donated to Free Republic? https://freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

This is silly. The rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal in June 2008.


14 posted on 07/31/2017 10:26:18 AM PDT by posterchild (Science makes the Dr. see what is not, and prevents him from seeing what is clear to everyone else)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

Better idea, charge the tax payers even more billions so we can adjust the tilt of the planet around 23 degrees, that should stabilize the climate change..


15 posted on 07/31/2017 10:27:13 AM PDT by mowowie
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

If they believed that, they would reason that we should make no effort to avoid it, but devote our efforts to survival when the warming occurs.


16 posted on 07/31/2017 10:27:47 AM PDT by Tax-chick ("The less free you are, the more you are obliged to applaud.")
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

When govt terminates all the leases, tele-commutes, and elected\Hollywood\elite are prohibited from owning personal aircraft\boats and live in O-N-E 1500ft\sq home, I might start to listen


17 posted on 07/31/2017 10:32:15 AM PDT by i_robot73 ("A man chooses. A slave obeys." - Andrew Ryan)
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To: i_robot73

When the elites abandon all of their coastal homes then I will start to listen.

I have an open offer for any of them—one penny!


18 posted on 07/31/2017 10:33:49 AM PDT by cgbg (Hidden behind the social justice warrior mask is corruption and sexual deviance.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

It’s even harder to avoid all their fake weather stories.


19 posted on 07/31/2017 10:36:20 AM PDT by Trillian
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

The upshot of all the REAL science is that it is not CO2, but an earth that has been gradually warming, in fits and starts, since the last ice age ended. THAT is the major “warming” and it is a natural cycle not hugely changed, up or down, by human generation of CO2.

Listen humans, the dynosaurs likely died off due to inability to adapt. Yet adapt is what humans have been doing from the start and now have some occupation in every climate niche on the planet, which shouts WE CAN ADAPT to “climate change” and we are in a stage of human technological development that makes us more capable of that than ever before. The sky is not falling, and if it were we would adapt.

The “climate change” agenda is an agenda of fear, and using fear to put international socialism in charge of the economic life of the planet.


20 posted on 07/31/2017 10:37:51 AM PDT by Wuli
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