Here is the basic data:
Reference Date is Jan 2015. Best I have right now.
Number of illegals in California: 2,670,000
Population of California: 38,993,940
Number of Californians registered to vote: 17,717,936
Votes for President 2016: 14,181,595
Calculated: Percent of the California population that is illegal: 6.84%
Calculated: Percent of the California Registered to vote that are illegal: 6.84% (an upper limit I believe)
Calculated: Number of illegals who are registered in California: 1,213,186
Calculated: Number of illegals who voted in California in 2016: 971,044 (an upper limit for sure – IMHO)
Any of this data could be wrong. And the great uncertainty is the percentage of Illegals that actually registered and actually voted. It seems to me to be unlikely that they would do that at the same a citizens. So I believe that the number of illegals that actually voted is some fraction of 971,044. Still potentially a big number. But not enough by itself to give Trump the popular vote.
Comments welcome on the data and the conclusion.
“”Number of Californians registered to vote: 17,717,936
Votes for President 2016: 14,181,595””
Was the turnout really that high?
How come you can do reasonable analysis and the NYT just declines and instead calls the President a liar?