[rb22982]

Actual the LA Times poll was off by more than most polls. They had Trump winning by 3% in the popular vote and instead lost by 2.5%-3%. That’s a fairly large miss. Rasmussen was the closest IIRC.

[bigbob]

I stand corrected, I should have said the Daybreak poll was about the only one that consistently showed Trump in the lead, which put it so far from the conventional polls that the MSM wanted it excluded from the RCP Average. I did find this summary chart from a WaPo article, which does not include the PPD poll that LS says was closest, but it may have been excluded by the criteria of the researcher:

[Alas Babylon!]

ANY poll testing the national popular vote in close elections is going to be off because winning or losing the popular vote means nothing constitutionally.

Only a poll of all the separate states can gauge close elections, IMHO.