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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican

Shilly’s total vote share in TX was 43.24%, less than a couple points ahead of Obama’s 2012 41.35% and UNDER his 2008 share of 43.63% (and under Bill Clinton’s 1996 % and Dukakis’s too), while uncool that’s hardly super frightening. The other half of the equation as Auh mentioned is the increased third party vote.

I calculated and posted the 2-party vote share cause I thought that was useful data but the only states where Obama didn’t get a higher total % than Shilly in either 2008 or 2012 or both were, CA and

let’s see, not AZ, bammy got higher in 2008, not GA, Bammy got higher BOTH times, not UT, Bammy got higher in 08. Hell I think CA, TX, AZ, UT are the only ones where she exceeded his 2012 %, even considering that she lost votes to Stein and in some states, Bernie write ins, that’s not impressive. As totally uncool as some county (and CD) results were, on the state level, not impressive.


81 posted on 01/07/2017 2:15:20 PM PST by Impy (Toni Preckwinkle for Ambassador to the Sun)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; campaignPete R-CT; BillyBoy; Galactic Overlord-In-Chief; Sun

New York, I’ve been eager to see this one.

First an aside, it was reported after the election that Shilly won NY outside of NYC by only a few hundred or something, meaning she lost the state outside the 4 bad boroughs. Final totals however sadly have her ahead outside the bad boroughs by 35,652 votes. Clinton must have done well in the absentees (how many snow birds that illegally doubled voted in NY/Florida?), Dave Leip tweeted that Duchess county, carried by Trump on election night, flipped to her.

Trump carried all the GOP districts save (unsurprisingly) for Kakto’s and carried Sean Maloney’s district.

Clinton/Trump/Obama/Romney

NY-1 where Lee Zeldin (R) won in a landslide

42.2 54.5 49.6 49.1

NY-2, RINO Pete King

43.9 53.0 51.6 47.2

Both carried easily

NY 3, Open seat which held by the rats 53-47

51.6 45.5 50.8 48.2

This one oddly actually swung to shilly. Most disappointing district in the state, it includes a small part of Queens. GOP nominee for the seat carried the Suffolk county portion, lost Nassau and badly lost Queens.

Finishing the long island seats with NY-4 Rice (D)

53.4 43.8 56.3 42.8

Slight improvement, Rice swamped a weak challenger

NY-11

43.8 53.6 51.6 47.3

Staten Island, back where it belongs

NY 18, Sean Maloney’s (D) seat, he won by 11 points over a weak foe

47.1 49.0 51.4 47.1

Narrowly captured by Trump, obviously the #1 target for NY GOP

NY 19, open GOP Seat, held for us by conservative John Faso by 8 or so points

43.7 51.0 52.1 45.9

Similar margin for Trump

NY 21, Elise Stefanik’s (R) seat, she had desultory opposition and took 65%

(R) 40.0 53.9 52.2 46.1

Not close! Big increase. Northern NY returned to it’s roots. Clinton only won Clinton county (amusingly the worst county up there) by a couple points

NY 22, Open GOP seat held by conservative Claudia Tenney by 5.5 points,, there was a Reform (yes Reform, the Independence party did not support anyone) candidate that got over 12%, more from Tenney than the rat.

39.3 54.8 48.8 49.2

Not close! Was a narrow win for Romney.

NY 23 Tom Reed (R)

39.7 54.5 48.4 49.6

Very similar to the 22nd

NY 24, Kakto’s (R) seat, he ended up winning by 21 points

48.9 45.3 57.0 41.1

Trump didn’t carry it but he came a LOT closer as you can see


82 posted on 01/07/2017 7:23:37 PM PST by Impy (Toni Preckwinkle for Ambassador to the Sun)
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