Anyone else hate how irrelevant third party votes disrupt mathematical purity? I loved how OK had no 3rd party votes for President recently until Johnson made last year’s ballot.
I present to you the 2 party share of the vote for Trump and Romney along with % change
WY 75.71% 71.16% +4.55%
WV 72.16% 63.67% +8.49%
ND 69.81% 60.12% +9.69%
OK 69.30% 66.77% +2.53%
ID 68.31% 66.42% +1.89%
SD 65.97% 59.22% +6.75%
KY 65.67% 61.54% +4.13%
AL 64.37% 61.22% +3.15%
AR 64.29% 62.15% +2.14%
TN 63.62% 60.35% +3.27%
NE 63.55% 61.12% +2.43%
UT 62.38% 74.63% -12.25%
KS 61.11% 61.06% +0.05%
MT 61.11% 57.03% +4.08%
LA 60.17% 58.75% +1.42%
IN 60.12% 55.21% +4.91%
MO 59.82% 54.78% +5.03%
MS 59.09% 55.80% +3.29%
AK 58.39% 57.32% +1.07%
SC 57.46% 55.31% +2.15%
IA 55.06% 47.04% +8.04%
TX 54.71% 58.01% -3.30%
OH 54.27% 48.49% +5.78%
GA 52.66% 53.96% -1.30%
NC 51.90% 51.03% +0.87%
AZ 51.89% 54.61% -2.72%
FL 50.62% 49.56% +1.06%
WI 50.41% 46.48% +3.93%
PA 50.38% 47.27% +3.11%
MI 50.12% 45.20% +4.92%
NH 49.80% 47.17% +2.63%
MN 49.17% 46.06% +3.11%
NV 48.71% 46.59% +2.12%
ME 48.40% 42.14% +6.26%
CO 47.32% 47.25% +0.07%
VA 47.17% 48.03% -0.86%
NM 45.35% 44.70% +0.65%
DE 44.00% 40.55% +3.45%
OR 43.84% 43.73% +0.11%
CT 42.86% 41.23% +1.63%
NJ 42.72% 41.02% +1.70%
RI 41.69% 35.98% +5.71%
WA 41.21% 42.37% -1.15%
IL 40.98% 41.42% -0.44%
NY 38.23% 35.70% +2.53%
MD 35.98% 36.68% -0.70%
MA 35.35% 38.21% -2.86%
VT 34.81% 31.75% +3.06%
CA 33.87% 38.13% -4.26%
HI 32.56% 28.30% +4.26%
DC 4.31% 7.41% -3.10%
Maine/Nebraska CD Results
n3 78.93% 71.63% +7.30%
n1 61.30% 58.45% +2.85%
M2 55.71% 45.64% +10.07%
n2 51.22% 53.63% -2.41%
M1 42.21% 39.11% +3.01%
US 48.89% 48.04% +0.85%
CF 50.61% 49.14% +1.47%
CF=California Free, US without Cali
1,404,903 margin for Trump outside Cali
For math reasons the order not exactly the same as % margin of victory including all candidates. Utah for example shot up a couple places.
Only 10 of 50 states (and DC and NE-2) saw a decrease.
IL (F you very much DuPage County), MA, CA, MD, AZ, TX (Iowa inched ahead of them!), WA, UT, GA, and VA (suspicious, Kaine or no)
Biggest loss, Utah, though Shillery barely improved on Obama’s total vote share obviously with the McMuffin vote Trump didn’t do as well as Mormon Mitt. McCain’s 2008 2 party vote % was 64.53%, so it was only a little worse than that. Idaho stills sees a gain despite the McMuffin vote there.
Biggest gain in any unit was Maine-2, the biggest gain in a State, North Dakota, land of my ancestors. Iowa the biggest gain in a swing state.
Rhode Island gets out of the basement. Cali worse than MA and VT. OR was alone seeing a gain on a the west coast, though a very small one, they were a fringe swing state but didn’t quite beat out DE.
WV gets the silver medal. They have come a long way. Everywhere but Governor.
“Only 10 of 50 states (and DC and NE-2) saw a decrease.
IL (F you very much DuPage County), MA, CA, MD, AZ, TX (Iowa inched ahead of them!), WA, UT, GA, and VA (suspicious, Kaine or no).”
Trump greatly underperformed Romney among high-income suburbanites (plus among Mormons, many of whom voted for Egg McMuffin instead). Even in the states that you listed, Trump outperformed Romney in blue-collar suburbs and in (non-Mormon) rural areas.
BTW, I do not find the VA numbers suspicious; given Trump’s performance among high-income suburbanites nationwide, and particularly in the DC area, Loudon, Fairfax and PW falling further to the Dark Side was not unexpected anymore than was the further swing towards the GOP of the state’s Appalachian counties.
Our goal for future elections is to get back our suburban support (if not to 2004 levels, at least to 2012 levels) while retaining our gains among blue-collar voters. That would lock up the 306 EVs earned by Trump (his 1% victories in swing states would turn into 3% victories, and GA and AZ would be safely GOP once again) and add MN, NH, VA, CO and maybe NV, ME and NM for a total of 355 EVs.
NE 2
was 51 to 49? 2% margin?
could have thrown it into HOUSE.
why aint NEB leg do something bout that? change house district lines