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To: Impy; fieldmarshaldj; Galactic Overlord-In-Chief; BillyBoy; randita

And now Daily Kos added CD presidential data for WA and WI.

Washington:

Hillary 2016; Trump 2016; Obama 2012; Romney 2012

WA-01 DelBene, Suzan (D) 54.1 37.8 54.1 43.3

WA-02 Larsen, Rick (D) 56.9 34.8 59.2 38.0

WA-03 Herrera Beutler, Jaime (R) 42.5 49.9 47.9 49.6

WA-04 Newhouse, Dan (R) 35.1 57.9 37.9 59.7

WA-05 McMorris Rodgers, Cathy (R) 39.1 52.2 43.7 53.5

WA-06 Kilmer, Derek (D) 51.8 39.5 56.1 41.2

WA-07 Jayapal, Pramila (D) 82.1 12.2 79.2 18.1

WA-08 Reichert, David (R) 47.7 44.7 49.7 48.1

WA-09 Smith, Adam (D) 70.5 23.3 68.3 29.6

WA-10 Heck, Denny (D) 51.3 39.9 56.3 41.1

Once again, Trump outperformed Romney in rural areas and blue-collar suburbs and underperformed him in affluent suburbs. This underperformance was most noticeable in Reichert’s WA-08 in the traditionally Republican suburbs to the east of Seattle.

Wisconsin:

Hillary 2016; Trump 2016; Obama 2012; Romney 2012

WI-01 Ryan, Paul (R) 42.3 52.6 47.4 51.6

WI-02 Pocan, Mark (D) 65.8 29.0 68.3 30.5

WI-03 Kind, Ron (D) 44.8 49.3 54.8 43.8

WI-04 Moore, Gwen (D) 74.0 21.8 75.3 23.8

WI-05 Sensenbrenner, Jim (R) 37.3 57.4 37.7 61.3

WI-06 Grothman, Glenn (R) 38.8 55.7 45.8 53.1

WI-07 Duffy, Sean (R) 37.3 57.8 47.8 50.9

WI-08 Gallagher, Mike (R) 38.6 56.2 47.6 51.3

Trump outperformed Romney by 5.5% in the rural and blue-collar WI-03 (which has been represented by Democrat Ron Kind since the late 1990s and was made more Democrat by the GOP in 2012 redistricting so as to make the WI-07 more Republican) and actually carried the CD by 49.3% to 44.8%. This district was in no one’s radar screen for 2016, but we should contest it strongly in 2018. After the 2020 Census, the GOP legislature should add Lacrosse to the über-Democrat Madison-based CD and make the WI-03 a more Republican district so that WI elected 6 Republicans and just 2 Democrats to the House.

Unsurprisingly, Trump underperformed Romney in Sensenbrener’s WI-05, traditionally one of the most Republican districts in the Midwest but one chock full of affluent suburbanites. However, Trump’s 4% underperformance was a drop in the bucket in that district, which had given Romney 61.3% in 2012.


50 posted on 12/13/2016 10:27:39 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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To: AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj

Big gains in WI-3, 7, and 8.

Kind didn’t even have an opponent, ugh!! That makes me almost as mad as MN-8 and MN-1 (and throw in MN-7) being narrow ‘loses’.


51 posted on 12/13/2016 10:21:55 PM PST by Impy (Toni Preckwinkle for Ambassador to the Sun)
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