Posted on 12/01/2016 3:59:11 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
The first polling is out for the soon to be open 6th district seat held by future Health and Human Services Secretary Tom Price. In a Landmark Rosetta Stone poll of 500 voters. Former Secretary of State Karen Handel leads at 21.7%, followed by State Rep. and Tom Prices wife Betty Price at 10%. State Senator Judson Hill, who officially announced his bid, has 8.4%, and State Senator Brandon Beach at 4%. 55.7% are undecided.
There are several caveats to consider when considering the results. First of all, not all potential candidates are listed. Others, including Sen. John Albers and House Speaker Pro Tem Jan Jones were not included, for example. In addition, it is widely believed by insiders that should Handel run, Betty Price would not, and vice versa. IN addition, there were no Democratic names in the poll.
While candidates can explore their options now, Tom Price is unlikely to resign his seat until after he is confirmed by the Senate, which could be in late January. Between qualifying and the election, which is likely to include a runoff, the race may not be settled until June.
(Excerpt) Read more at georgiapol.com ...
Some awful polling shows a tossup race
GA CD-6 RUNOFF (FOX-5 TV): Jon Ossoff (D) 42%, Karen Handel (R) 41% ... Ossoff 44%, Bob Gray (R) 42% ... Judson Hill (R) 45%, Ossoff 44%
Handel 10 points in front of Gray and Hill to make runoff.
That’s about Ossoff’s maximum percentage, low 40s.
That’s what I think/hope as well.
Democrats are pulling out the big guns: https://twitter.com/Politics1com/status/846440880768765954
If I lived in GA-06, I’d definitely call that number to have Alyssa Milano (and her driver, I guess) pick me up and take me to vote. It would be a win-win-win: I’d get to ride in a car with Alyssa, I’d get to go and vote without having to worry about parking or paying for gas, and the time that she and her driver spent taking me to vote would be time that they wouldn’t be able to take some Democrat to vote. And when she dropped me back off at home, I’d tell her that I voted just like she wanted: for Karen Handel. The look on her face would be priceless.
Alyssa was hot back around the time Bubba spewed his goo on Monica’s dress. This is just sad. Trump should counter by sending down a bus driven by Tony Danza. ;-D
“Who’s the boss, bitch ?”
Chistopher Gorham is an actor, I saw him on “Covert Affairs”.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiaR_IqaTYc
He did a pretty good job pretending to be blind (sans dark glasses), I guess. That can’t be easy.
Who knew he was even more blind in real life?
As for Alyssa, she’s aged a bit but is still the boss, of my pants.
Gov news
In CT Ted Kennedy Jr. likely to enter the race. Bleep me. His cousin Chris is already running here in IL.
In MN Rep. Tim Walz is running, vacates his seat which is an excellent pickup opportunity.
Watch CT vote that Commie no count into office
“...hot back around the time Bubba spewed his goo on Monicas dress.”
Overrated in my book. On the 1-10 scale, AT HER BEST, she was a 7...MAYBE a 7.5.
Put it this way: Take her at her “best” and toss her in with 24 other random 7-9 chicks from LA, BOS, NYC, MIA. She’d be in the lower 1/3.
Toss in her putrid taste in politics, horrid breast implants and chain smoking? WNB.
Swimmer Junior is already a State Senator. Of course, Malloy has been so unpopular (well, he did cheat to win), I think the GOP should reclaim the CT Governorship.
Yes, the GOP should also reclaim Walz’s seat. Unfortunately, the MN Independence Party is more a threat to the GOP in statewide races, allowing “moderate” voters to cast a vote for them without having to pick between a Republican and a moonbat. If I were a state legislator in MN, I would enact a law for statewide officeholders that they must win with 50%+1 of the vote, or it goes to a runoff (or instant runoff). I think the GOP would benefit from that and Tom Emmer would be Governor today.
Has a KKKennedy ever lost a general election besides KKT in 2002?
I’m gonna plotz if that prick Chris is elected here.
And two of them.....ugh just imagine. Who’s gonna win CT for the GOP, Pete?
GOP will be Boughton
TK Jr will not be the DEM nominee
Probably would have to go back to Grandpappy Fitzgerald (who lost a Senate race in MA) to find another loser.
Isn’t Boughton a Never Trumper RINO ?
“But lets look at how Trump would have done, he carried 230 districts, plus 30 states ie 60 evs, thats 290-245. Exactly what he would have gotten had he failed to narrowly win Michigan.
If we use of Auh2s method of giving 1 electoral vote to the statewide winner and 1 to the winner of the most districts in the state (with statewide as tiebreaker) that would have gained Trump 1 additional vote each from MN (5-3) and VA (6-5) which were carried by Shillery.
292-243
While this distastefully would have gotten Shillery 14 votes closer to winning it would have substantially lowered her chances of getting to 270. Under AuhOs modified system Trump could have narrowly lost MI, WI, and PA statewide (which in the real world would have given Shillery 278) and lost only 3 votes, still winning with 289 and plenty of room to spare. Lose FL? Still wins at 288! Lose Diaz-Balarts district in FL? That gives Hillary more districts in the state (GD district map) and thus 2 more votes. But Trump still wins with 286, matching Bush in 2004!
Based on these election results Shillery would have had little chance under this system.”
___________________________
I decided to crunch the numbers and see just how much a nationwide adoption of a modified CD method for allocating EVs (one electoral vote per CD carried, plus one EV to the statewide winner and one EV for the winner of the most CDs) would have benefited President Trump in 2016, even had he fared worse in the popular vote.`
Had Donald Trump received 2% less, and Hillary Clinton 2% more, in every single CD and state in America, Trump would have received 43.94% of the national popular vote to Hillary’s 50.03%. Under such scenario, and under our present method of EV allocation (winner-takes-all in all states by ME and NE, and one per CD plus two to the statewide winner in ME and NE), Hillary would have carried MI, PA, WI, FL, AZ, NC and the NE-02 for a whopping 334 electoral votes to only 204 for Trump.
But under the modified CD method of EV allocation, Trump would have managed to win 266 EVs (62 more than under our current system) even had he lost a net 4% of the vote in every single CD and state. That assumes that Trump no longer would have carried AZ-01 (O’Halleran), FL-25 (Díaz-Balart), GA-06 (the CD that Price vacated), IA-01 (Blum), IA-03 (Young), IL-14 (Hultgren), IL-17 (Bustos), MN-02 (Lewis), NE-02 (Bacon), NH-01 (Shea-Poerter), NJ-05 (Gottheimer), NJ-11 (Frelinghuysen), NV-03 (Rosen), NY-18 (Maloney), PA-08 (Fitzpatrick) or VA-08 (Taylor), and would have lost the extra CDs for winning MI, PA, WI, FL, AZ and NC statewide and for winning the most CDs in AZ, FL, MN and VA. However, if that 4% net loss came about by Trump losing 5% in in big cities and close-in suburbs but only losing 3% elsewhere, he would have carried IA-01, IA-03 and VA-02, plus a majority of CDs in VA, then Trump would have received 270 EVs (and thus been elected president) despite losing the national popular vote by over 6%.
With respect to the 2012 presidential elections, Romney would have won 280 EVs (and thus the presidency) under the modified CD allocation method despite losing the national popular vote by 3.86% (and losing by a bit less than 5.4% in the last state that would have put him over the top in the electoral college under the current system).
In conclusion, a modified CD method of EV allocation would be highly beneficial to the GOP should it be adopted nationally. Given that that’s not going to happen, though, individual GOP-controlled states should act in concert to adopt the allocation method in those states where Democrat presidential candidates are competitive statewide but where most CDs vote for the GOP presidential candidate, but only if a large group of such states adopt it.
Oops, “winner-takes-all in all states by ME and NE” = “winner-takes-all in all states *but* ME and NE.”
You think he won’t run, or that someone will beat him in the primary?
Paul LePage pardoned a dog who was sentenced to death without due process.
Jane Fonda the latest hollyweird leftard to give to Ossoff.
I hope we can use all this hollyweird love against him in the runoff.
Alyssa Milano calls for "~GROUPHUG~" after Ossoff Lossoff.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.