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A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Emerging Democrat Majority
American Thinker ^ | November 30, 2016 | Richard Winchester

Posted on 11/30/2016 12:04:53 PM PST by Kaslin

John Judis and Ruy Teixeira published a bestselling book, The Emerging Democratic Majority, in 2002. Judis hailed the continuing validity of their thesis in an Atlantic article published in November 2012. Other authors, such as Democrat pollster Stanley Greenberg and National Review’s chief political correspondent Tim Alberta, have taken up the drumbeat.

The gist of this argument is that a combination of demographic changes to American society and key socioeconomic developments are making it likely that the future will belong to the Democratic Party. Among the demographic changes is the assertion that groups especially likely to vote Democrat – African Americans, Hispanics, and other minorities – will be a larger slice of the American electorate in the future, while groups more inclined to back the GOP – especially older, heterosexual white people – will be a smaller portion of the voting-age population.

Other changes in America include the decline of marriage and especially the entry of more women into the workforce; each of these allegedly works to the advantage of the Democrats. Add to this the entry into the electorate of the Millennial birth cohort – or people born in 1982 or later. These people are reported to be much more likely to identify with or lean toward the Democrats than the Republicans. Contrast them to America’s so-called “Silent Generation,” who are now in their early-to-late 70s, and considerably more inclined to identify with or lean to the GOP.

Voila, so the argument goes, the future looks rosier for the Democrats than for the Republicans.

Before proceeding, let’s acknowledge that the future may belong to the Democratic Party, for the reasons usually given.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 114th; obamalegacy; trends; trumptransition
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1 posted on 11/30/2016 12:04:53 PM PST by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

If any other Republican had won the GOP nomination, I believe the Dems would have taken over America.

Trump however, was not the usual Republican. He is for AMERICANS.

Not for companies, who want to ever outsource more, and more. Not for interests. He is for AMERICANS.

That is such a unique, and such a rare characteristic for the GOP. For both parties, in fact. It is why Trump won, and why he will change the GOP into a much different party, go forward.

The party was in my opinion, saved from permanent irrelevance, by Trump, this year.


2 posted on 11/30/2016 12:11:29 PM PST by cba123 ( Toi la nguoi My. Toi bay gio o Viet Nam.)
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To: Kaslin

I still get a great kick out of Charlie Cook, that oh so venerable pollster swearing up and down weeks before the election that the race was completely over. The way he said it with such certainty was rather unusual. I’m still grinning!


3 posted on 11/30/2016 12:12:29 PM PST by Obadiah
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To: Kaslin

Translation:

Our Marxist ploys to artificially and illegally change the demographics to establish our dominance over the past fifty years have borne fruit.


4 posted on 11/30/2016 12:13:44 PM PST by YogicCowboy ("I am not entirely on anyone's side, because no one is entirely on mine." - JRRT)
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To: cba123
Trump however, was not the usual Republican. He is for AMERICANS.

He is the closest we have come to the viable third party candidate that many of us have been hoping for.

5 posted on 11/30/2016 12:14:55 PM PST by mollynme (cogito, ergo freepum)
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To: Kaslin

Wasn’t it Carville in 2008, when Obama won, who said the Democrats will be in the majority for forty years?


6 posted on 11/30/2016 12:15:21 PM PST by FroggyTheGremlim (Hillary Clinton: the official candidate of the National Sleep Foundation)
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To: Kaslin

Liberals are never good at predicting stuff because they never include ‘individual human behavior’ in their calculations. They despise the individual, preferring ‘groups’ to get their agenda implemented..............


7 posted on 11/30/2016 12:16:42 PM PST by Red Badger
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To: Kaslin
CA, WA, OR all used to vote reliably red from 1968 to 1988. Now they're blue.

NV, NM, CO used to be reliably red from 64-88. Since then NV is blue in 92,96,08,12,16.

NM is blue in 92, 96, 00, 08,12, 16.

CO is blue in 92, 08, 12, 16.

We're losing territory.

8 posted on 11/30/2016 12:16:44 PM PST by ealgeone
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To: cba123

You are correct.

In truth, the RNC wanted to lose. They knew Trump could win, and that scared them.

They are utterly corrupt and complicit: The Washington Generals to the Harlem Globetrotters - paid to lose and like it.

Trump exposes the Uni-Party along with the rest of the games of the District of Criminals.


9 posted on 11/30/2016 12:17:09 PM PST by YogicCowboy ("I am not entirely on anyone's side, because no one is entirely on mine." - JRRT)
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To: ealgeone

We picked up WV,WI,MI and PA.


10 posted on 11/30/2016 12:18:14 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: ealgeone

That is true, but the RNC has willingly gone along with the corruption that has allowed that.

They have deliberately not stopped voter fraud or illegal invasion for decades.


11 posted on 11/30/2016 12:19:03 PM PST by YogicCowboy ("I am not entirely on anyone's side, because no one is entirely on mine." - JRRT)
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To: cba123

Very well said.


12 posted on 11/30/2016 12:19:13 PM PST by Kaslin (Most humans have an attention span of about 10 minutes, after that they will revert to daydreaming)
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To: cba123

Indeed...my assertion is that if Trump ran as a demorat and ran the same campaign he still would have won. The voters were not voting Republican...they voted America!


13 posted on 11/30/2016 12:19:28 PM PST by gr8eman (Don't waste your energy trying to understand commies. Use it to defeat them!)
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To: cba123
Trump defined a distinction, not just slightly different than the opposition. That sharp distinction was what was needed, whether you support him or not.
14 posted on 11/30/2016 12:19:51 PM PST by fwdude (Stronger, To Get Her)
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To: cba123

The Lord had pity on the United States of America.


15 posted on 11/30/2016 12:21:47 PM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: ealgeone

Those Orwellian media newspeak colors give me a headache.


16 posted on 11/30/2016 12:22:31 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Je Suis Pepe)
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To: Obadiah

Whoever he is, I’ve never heard of him and don’t watch him or the show he is on.


17 posted on 11/30/2016 12:22:52 PM PST by Kaslin (Most humans have an attention span of about 10 minutes, after that they will revert to daydreaming)
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To: gr8eman

I think Donald saw that the GOP was closer to his ideals, though. There was no sense in putting in the extra effort to whip the Democrat party into line (or try to).


18 posted on 11/30/2016 12:23:00 PM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: ealgeone
We're losing territory.

No.

Trump won more "territory" than any other Republican since 1988.

19 posted on 11/30/2016 12:24:17 PM PST by FreeReign
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To: mollynme

A third party candidate would never make it. But if it makes you happy, so be it.


20 posted on 11/30/2016 12:24:43 PM PST by Kaslin (Most humans have an attention span of about 10 minutes, after that they will revert to daydreaming)
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