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To: plsjr
Can you point to where you found the “Clinton 52% Trump 48%”?

Go to the below website that contains realtime voter statistics. Then click on "by Party", and make sure to select 'include mail in and early voting'.

Hillborough voting stats

I calculated the numbers by first assuming Trump is leading the unaffiliated by 3%, and just for simplicity all Dems are Hillary, and all Reps are Trump, I multiplied unaffiliated by '.515'. I then add that to the total number of Republican voters, and divided by the total number of votes cast. That should give you a number of around '.479'.

So, with basic conservative assumptions that Trump has 3% advantage in unaffiliated, and total parity in crossover votes, Trump should have 48% of the votes cast in Hillsborough county.

The comparison to 2012 comes from 2012 Florida results
117 posted on 11/08/2016 11:01:29 AM PST by MMaschin (The difference between strategy and tactics!)
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To: MMaschin

Thanks.

Do you think the 2012 pattern is a good match for today’s vote?


121 posted on 11/08/2016 11:36:37 AM PST by plsjr (<>< Mankind "knows" by trial and error; Only the CREATOR really knows His creation.)
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