Last poll for the year.
Trump still ahead.
We’ll see how valid the D +7 turnout assumption is soon enough when polls open all around the country in several hours.
I don't know why there are a dozen f-ing polls every single day. I guess they're easy clicks for media websites, and a lazy lead-in. Instead of any real news, they can just say "we start tonight with our latest poll..."
Today’s poll slides Trump under the grey zone.
My feeling is he peaked at the right time.
In several hours, it will all be over.
Now its in the hands of the voters.
I’ll take a 2004 type win,, we’ll take that for a national final.. let’s get it on
Not the trend we hoped for. It will come down to Florida, NC, and either PA, Michigan, or a lucky run of two smaller states.
Who cares about polls, they are designed to demoralize you and suppress your vote.
Trump has fought a tough fight. He has been the fighter we have been hoping for, and he has fought hard for us. Now we need to return the favor and storm the voting booths and get him in the Oval Office.
Oh well. I can’t take it anymore. Glad it’s over.
Looks like Crooked will have about a 3 point national lead in the rcp.
Just pray to God and pray some more. If she wins this country we all love is finished forever. God help us.
Ha they goosed it into the grey lol. But more power to them at USC - they are out on a limb layin’ a true Trump pv whoopin’ on Cankles. If they are right, then it’s a Rust Belt Nacht.
Let the LORD, the Righteous Judge, do His will.
Amen.
Poll herding - simple as that
Hillary poll numbers are dropping like Bill Clintons pants.
hard to belive there’s really been any slide in the last few hours
Trump rallies are FULL and OVERFLOWING... where-ever he goes
As for whats-her-name’s rallies,
if you subtract the propaganda media, there’s almost nobody there
and her VP candidate actually can’t get a single classroom of, say, 30 people... on a large college campus....
My gosh people, lay off the doom and gloom. By the sound of it you would think Trump was 10 points behind in this poll instead of 3.1% ahead! So it dropped some, this puts in right in the range of the historically most accurate poll the IDP/TIPP poll which sits at 2.4% (and ironically everybody is praising Trump’s lead in that one). Personally I’ll be thrilled Trump win’s by a 3% margin, which would around what Obama won by in 2012.
Actual 2012 election result: Obama 51.1%/Romney 47.2%, 3.9% spread.
At 3.2%, this is a wider poll points spread than 2012.
IBD was #1 in 2012 and Rand -- now the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times "Daybreak" poll -- was #4. Both show a Trump lead.
Can the majority of the polls be wrong?
Of course, if they are done badly! I don't see that it makes any sense to weight the worst performing polls in 2012 as much as the best ones, but the news stories weight them higher!
Gallup -- the "gold standard" for presidential election polling between 1936 and 2012 -- gave up on presidential election polling after their dismal 2012 performance. They (apparently) think it's impossible to do this accurately at a reasonable cost today. Most, if not all, of the major alphabet polls showing a Clinton lead are done much the same way as Gallup did its 1936 poll -- telephones and live, probably majority young female, interviewers -- but with a much smaller sample size.
(I have a red lizard mailbox flag. I didn't know it was political.)
In 1980, nobody had a cell phone and nobody had caller ID.
This didn’t surprise me. For some reason I thought this would be the last result.
It doesn’t matter to me, I’m voting anyways, in spite of them and their polls. And I’m in New York! For the rest of you:
DAMN THE POLLS, FULL SPEED AHEAD!!! GO TRUMP/PENCE!!!!!