Posted on 11/07/2016 5:55:13 PM PST by Alter Kaker
These Breitbart/Gravis five swing state polls show a nation in flux as America’s 2016 presidential election ends Tuesday night.
Virginia
Democrat Hillary Clinton leads her GOP rival Donald Trump with 47 percent to 42 percent for the New York City developer in the battle for Virginia’s 13 electoral votes, according to the Breitbart/Gravis poll conducted Nov. 1 through Nov. 4 with 1,362 registered voters there.
The poll carries a 2.7 margin of error with a 95 percent level of confidence.
Libertarian Gary Johnson has the support of four percent of the poll participants with Green Party nominee the choice of one percent.
The voters have similar feelings for the two major candidates, 34 percent had a strongly favorable opinion of Clinton and 26 percent had a strongly favorable opinion of Trump. Forty-six percent had a strongly unfavorable opinion of Clinton with 48 percent for Trump.
Fifty-five percent said the country was going in the wrong direction to the 36 percent of Virginia voters who said the country was going in the right direction.
Fifty-five percent said that President Barack Obama‘s healthcare reform, Obamacare, was a success, 42 percent said it was not.
Fifty-three percent of Virginia voters said they wanted the next president to change the polices of the Obama administration, 42 percent said those policies should continue.
Republican Mitt Romney lost Virginia to Obama in the 2012 presidential election with 47 percent of the vote to the president’s 51 percent.
The Virginia poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a Florida-based polling company, with a combination of interactive voice response polling and an internet panel of cell phone users. Results were weighted to match a proprietary turnout model.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Fifty-five percent said that President Barack Obama‘s healthcare reform, Obamacare, was a success, 42 percent said it was not.
Lie. Look at the internals, the numbers are reversed.
Funny how non contributors have so little money for Free Republic, and so much time to post negative poll numbers..
“Fifty-five percent said that President Barack Obama‘s healthcare reform, Obamacare, was a success, 42 percent said it was not.”
If that’s what VA voters believe, then VA is lost forever.
As I recall these guys were inaccurate in 2008 and 2012.
Your fingertips to God’s ears!!
Because as I said, two things:
(1) McAuliffe is the Governor, and he's a Clinton hack. He just pardoned 60K felons so they can vote, and who knows how many illegals will be voting
(2) Northern VA suburbs are dominated by the D.C. ruling class.
Guess you should tell that to my source at Team Trump.
He’d find that pretty funny.
Pat caddell is supposedly helping with the Gravis poll
that 150K was about 3.7%. That’s not out of reach at all, and she seems a weaker candidate.
Not good.
This makes me sad.
We will see. I’m praying for victory, but I’m not going out on a limb to predict a landslide like so many around here...I don’t want to sound negative but I think it will be close either way. What I WILL say is that Trump is a different animal than either McCain or Romney, has put far more blood and sweat into this race than those two combined, and the polls are a) mostly based on 2012 turnout models which I don’t think will hold and b) consistently oversample dems. Where the polls that turned out to be right in 2008 and 2012 also oversampling dems? I don’t know. But I do believe that the turnout for this election is going to be very different.
I’ve become suspicious that the new Breitbart folks are plants to destroy the Republican Party.
Again, after the last two elections where your sources gave you incorrect info, why do you trust your sources so much? I think they just pass on the rosiest of projections to you. I’m not trying to be an ass, but I go by what is plain before me. It’s my scientific background. I don’t believe people should be pumped up when the evidence is specious at best.
I will tell him. What’s his contact information?
If I had a nickel for every time I’ve seen a comment of yours that consists of nothing except the words, “not good,” the Clinton Foundation would be courting me for a piece of my moneybags.
I checked Gravis’s last 2012 polls that showed it a tie in both Florida and Virginia for the not so good campaigner Romney. They likely have a globalist GOPe bent to them like they bent their polling in 2012.
It was telling when Little Marco came close to beating Trump in VA back on Super Tuesday.
If they said tie in 2012 VA, they were only off 3.7%. And only off what, < 1% in FL.
That’s not horrible accuracy.
Gravis 2012 Nevada poll had it Obama +1 the worst out of last 5 polls listed. Obama won Nevada by 6.7%.
Off by 5% in Nevada and worst out of the bunch listed at RCP.
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