I did that without a telephone..................
This poll has 5% undecided. Give Trump 2 and Hillary 1 and 2 stay home. That gives Trump a +3 .
LaTimes shows Trump up 4.8%. One of the most accurate in 2012.
If you take the average of these you get +3.4% win for Trump.
That will be my guess Trump wins by 3.4% which will easily be enough for an electoral win as well.