Like I said before, unlike with food and booze, i’m not greedy when it comes to EVs.
NH, Iowa, NC, FL, NV and OH plus 2 from Maine puts us at 272 and that’s FINE with me!!
But of course i’ll take more icing on the cake.
He either gets 1 or 4 from Maine, He needs the 1 CD to get to 270. If not its a tie. Your scenario assumes NV and not CO, which leaving all emotion out of it and strictly going by the polls, he is looking at 269 or 270 with zero W flips. i.e. Most likely path to victory is W’s 2000 without Colorado, but because of demographic shifts he doesn’t need CO.