NC is looking very good so far, but we’ll get a better idea tomorrow (today they expanded the # of early voting sites). In person voting is 55% of the total vote (65% of Ds, 45% of Rs) in 2012. Dems are -13% vs 2012, Rep are -1%, Ind +27% vs 2012, % of blacks down from ~30% to ~22%. If expanded sites does not change that trajectory, Trump wins NC by 5-8% (or more)
“In person voting is 55% of the total vote (65% of Ds, 45% of Rs) in 2012.”
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In person early voting? Or ALL in person voting?
The NYT seems to think that NC looks like a 6 point win for HRC. http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/north-carolina-early-vote-tracker.html?_r=2
But they also admit that there prediction is based, in part, on their polling.