And the NC situation is hard to figure. Probably, in part, because of the bathroom thing.
NC is looking very good so far, but we’ll get a better idea tomorrow (today they expanded the # of early voting sites). In person voting is 55% of the total vote (65% of Ds, 45% of Rs) in 2012. Dems are -13% vs 2012, Rep are -1%, Ind +27% vs 2012, % of blacks down from ~30% to ~22%. If expanded sites does not change that trajectory, Trump wins NC by 5-8% (or more)