With nearly half of the absentee ballots returned, we may go past 80% returned. Also, the REPs lead by 2.9% in returned ballots (42.1% to 39.2%). That margin keeps increasing. It could hit 4%.
So new assumptions. Lets assume about 85% of absentee ballots are returned and assume REP lead by 4%, say 42.5% to 38.5% with the rest Independents/Other.
3,255,856 total absentee ballots mailed as of today
2,767,477 total returned (3,255,856 * 0.85)
1,176,177 - REP 43% (2,767,477 * 0.425)
1,065,478 - DEM 40% (2,767,477 * 0.385)
110,699 REP Lead Predicted in ABSENTEE BALLOTS
DEMs lead registration in Florida by 300,000. They should easily pass REPs in cast ballots. They probably still will. Quite shocked, they haven’t done so with 3 days of in-person early voting. Shows an enthusiasm gap. They aren’t into Hillary.
Does anyone know if the absentee ballots require postage to be mailed? If so, some DEMs may not spend the 50 cents for a stamp to vote for her!!!
In ABSENTEES Rs lead by 53-39.2, correct?
53-49.2 sorry
The lead from you calculations will go a long way against the damage the Federal judge did.