Posted on 10/27/2016 6:39:45 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Here are the RETURNED Florida Absentee Ballot numbers for 2016 (REPs led in this category by 79,000 in 2012). Approximately 49.4% of Absentee Ballots have been returned at this point.
53.0% of REP ballots, have been returned and 49.2% of DEM ballots have been returned.
10/27/16: REPs - 677,907, DEMs - 631,672 lead of 46,235 for REPs, 42.1% to 39.2%
10/26/16: REPs - 606,144, DEMs - 569,783 lead of 36,361 for REPs, 42.0% to 39.5%
10/25/16: REPs - 556,058, DEMs - 525,076 lead of 30,982 for REPs, 42.0% to 39.7%
10/24/16: REPs - 503,632, DEMs - 483,019 lead of 20,613 for REPs, 41.7% to 40.0%
10/23/16: REPs - 496,040, DEMs - 476,292 lead of 19,748 for REPs, 41.7% to 40.0%
For Hillsborough [battleground/swing county] (DEMs had a lead of 20,000 in 2012 early voting - that's absentee ballots plus in-person early voting):
10/27/16: REPs - 62,341, DEMs - 73,711, lead of 11,370 for DEMs <== Now reflects absentee + in-person early voting
10/26/16: REPs - 52,634, DEMs - 62,884, lead of 10,250 for DEMs <== Now reflects absentee + in-person early voting
10/25/16: REPs - 41,660, DEMs - 50,050, lead of 8,390 for DEMs <== Now reflects absentee + in-person early voting
10/24/16: REPs - 33,400, DEMs - 38,935, lead of 5,535 for DEMs
10/23/16: REPs - 31,163, DEMs - 36,362, lead of 5,199 for DEMs
I’ll stand in my cement-covered bunker.
Until the air runs out...
Where are you finding the data on Colorado? I am monitoring the data for Florida and North Carolina and would like to add Colorado to the list.
That is too bad. Let the voter pay postage. Many DEMs would rather save the 50 cents.
I believe Ohio requires postage.
There are 10.5 days of early-in-person voting left. Statewide the votes turned in already run about 21% of all votes cast in 2012. That is also true in Duval county.
Each day of in—person voting has seen fewer people vote compared to the prior day. That could change on the weekend.
There are 10.5 days of early-in-person voting left. Statewide the votes turned in already run about 21% of all votes cast in 2012. That is also true in Duval county.
Each day of in—person voting has seen fewer people vote compared to the prior day. That could change on the weekend.
In Ohio: “The bad news for Dems is that Cuyahoga is -37% from 2012 voted level, Franklin is -28%”
This is Cleveland and Columbus. Dem strongholds. Ohio is locked up for Trump.
In ABSENTEES Rs lead by 53-39.2, correct?
53-49.2 sorry
Here is yesterdays numbers for Colorado: http://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/newsRoom/pressReleases/2016/20161026BallotsReceivedToDate.pdf
To view each day, go to: http://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/newsRoom/index.html
Click on the date, such as October 26 under press releases.
Then click Ballots received to date (PDF)
FYI: Yesterday, REPs cut DEM lead to 6.1% from 8.1% in 1 day.
Yesterday, the REP returned vote lead increased overall. Good day. One day at a time.
42.1% to 39.2% in absentee ballots.
FL absentee ballots are postage paid.
You can look at ElectionSmith for graphs: https://twitter.com/electionsmith
Here is one: https://electionsmith.files.wordpress.com/2016/10/fl-ev-through-oct-25-2016-2012-comparison-party.png
Because of the 8 vs 14 days, not too easy determine trends well, but this graph shows REP hanging closer to DEM with in-person voting compared to 2012.
I think more DEMs voted absentee ballots this year instead of in-person. Thus depressing in-person totals.
All theses numbers, 2012 or 2016. It’s VERY confusing!
What’s the bottom line?
(Notes go at the end of the book for those interested).
Well, we will get to 4%.
Nope, a dash IMMEDIATELY in front of a number indicates a negative number, as do including a number in parenthesis.
It may not matter to you to get things EXACTLY correct, but as a programmer who has to pay attention to such details, it’s a fact.
I’m feverishly trying to find it now....it was conducted by a university in FL and Mitchell had it on his Twitter within the last few days. I apologize for the lack of source at the moment.
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