Posted on 10/24/2016 4:20:44 PM PDT by Kaslin
As we get closer to Election Day, there will be a new flurry of stories showing how Hillary has an 85+percent chance of winning—and that her Electoral College count is going to be a landslide. Its over, basically—thats the theme. For Reuters, theyre projecting Clinton to win 326 electoral votes, with a 95 percent chance of winning:
In the last week, there has been little movement. Clinton leads Donald Trump in most of the states that Trump would need should he have a chance to win the minimum 270 votes needed to win. According to the project, she has a better than 95 percent chance of winning, if the election was held this week. The mostly likely outcome would be 326 votes for Clinton to 212 for Trump.
Trump came off his best debate performance of the campaign Wednesday evening but the polling consensus still showed Clinton winning the third and final face-off on prime-time TV. Trump disputes those findings.
And some national polls had the race tightening a wee bit this week though others had Clinton maintaining her solid lead. But the project illustrates that the broader picture remains bleak for Trump with 17 days to go until the Nov. 8 election.
Trump did gain ground in South Carolina where his slim lead last week expanded to seven points, moving it into his column from a toss-up. Unfortunately for him, he lost ground in Arizona, which is now too close to call.
On one hand, some in the GOP will rejoice—this means the end of Trumpism, the ignominious defeat of the alt-right. Well, Im not so sure these folks are leaving just yet. Second, Clinton would be president. Why is that a good thing? Its a nightmare for the country. If this ends up being the end result on Election Day, it will not be without a sense of irony. When Mitt Romney decided to get on the Never Trump train, the billionaire lashed out at him, blaming him for losing a winnable election. In 2016, Reuters Electoral College map closely resembles that of 2012 (Romney got 206 electoral votes), and this was yet another winnable election for Republicans that we pissed away thanks for nominating flawed candidates, but I dont want to get into I told you so games—though thats a point of inevitability post-election Im afraid.
Again, how many epitaphs have we written for this political campaign? Every time Trump looks like hes about to collapse, he regroups. He survives. It very well could be a drumming by Clinton, but we shall reserve judgment until Election Day. We have polls showing him trailing by four, six, nine, and now twelve points. Some have it at a virtual dead heat (i.e. LA Times), while other have him leading by a point (Investors Business Daily). Now, that doesnt mean that all is well either. Texas and Arizona are now in the toss-up column, Florida is moving to the Democrats—all of this spell disaster on November 8. If we lose Florida, forget everything else—the jig is up. Even Trump campaign manger Kellyanne Conway said that theyre behind. But the RNC seems to have delved into fantasyland to combat these developments, with Chairman Reince Priebus saying that Trump is going to do better with black voters this cycles than with McCain and Romney, with the added notion that Trump is going to win because people have had enough. Yeah, lets not kid ourselves; Trump is going to do poorly with Hispanics and black voters—and we dont know if hes going to win the election. This spin makes the Right look desperate and embodies everything that liberals think about conservatives—that were detached from reality.
There is one theory that Trumps campaign seems to be hedging on, which is that theres a swath of voters who dont like to be polled, and if a firm contacts them—these voters tell lies to protect themselves. Its a fear Democratic pollsters have this cycle, that the people they poll, like the ones saying theyre either voting for or leaning towards Hillary Clinton, are really voting for Trump. Its our version of the shy Tory theory, in which the 1992 election in the U.K. projected a Labour win, only to end with the Conservatives winning the most votes ever cast in a British election. Its impossible to gauge, but if this is the case, it shows how embarrassing these two candidates are for voters for either party. Right now, its all about stopping Clinton. And 45 percent of Republicans seem pretty dead set on making that happen, as this cohort has said they will not accept the election result that ends in a Trump defeat.
Reuters are such liars. Keep the faith folks. The propaganda media were doing the same thing to Regan and we kicked their sorry asses. And there wasn’t an alternative media then. Throw the corrupt commies on the trash heap, literally.
That’s a good point — Donald is the candidate that people don’t like to let on that they like.
How in the dickens do I know who YOU are, dear phone caller? Conservatives would be more cautious.
the ruling establishment WILL steal the election for the hag and everybody with any degree of sense will know it was stolen. Will the American people just accept it as they usually do with the crap jammed down our throats by the criminals in DC? Or what?
Much better that way. That said I don't doubt that they would say that.
I think Trump had 4 rallies in Florida today.
Rooooters run a Brexit poll? If they did I bet they got it wrong.
322-216 for Trump is my prediction as of today. Will provide a final update in 14 days. The MSM seems to be unaware how much of the USA is going to refuse to show up and vote for someone as President with a track record that reeks of corruption and criminal behaviors. They don’t want to be responsible for a Watergate style nightmare future that we’ll have if she gets in.
Reuters is the same type of “media” that proclaimed Kim Jong Un got 11 holes in one in a single golf game.
Sycophants.
That would generate a Segmentation Fault!!!
The same media that oversamples RATS in every poll, even though there is 0 enthusiasm for her. The AZ poll oversampled D +37. Don’t buy this bullshit. They are desperate.
Go, Soros! If anyone can do it, Soros can!
obvious /s
If this prediction comes to pass, it proves that Reuters knew all about the election rigging.
Means nothing. That’s what I learned from 2012. An energized voter is no different from a lazy voter who barely drags his ass out of bed on election day to go vote.
Don’t worry, I won’t and they are very desperate
I’ve been polled several times but for California and local elections. The process was scripted and tedious.
Hey, chill. I did not post that to you specifically, I posted it in response to the ARTICLE that you posted. I was responding to the article, not to you.
I guess Roto-Reuters knows all........LMAO!
ROFL...they can’t keep in depends...and they can’t make them fast enough...Trump is going to landslide this election!!!
...and another bites the dust...
Hey what do you have against Roto Rooters?
Nothing, just Roto Reuters : )
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