I live in Orlando — for every one Hillary sign or car sticker (most of the signs are in ‘free areas’ on the sides of high ways) I see six or seven Trump signs. Drove to New Smyrna Beach this past Friday — all Trump, two Hill signs.
Last weekend, drove to Tampa. Big ol’ digital bilboard saying, “Tampa is Deplorable Country” or something to that effect. Even in deep blue Tampa — ONE Hillary sign. Still more Trump.
Anecdotal evidence of course — but this time last year, and especially in ‘08 — it was nothing but that damn HOPE sticker everywhere.
I admit, seeing Dornsrife this morning gutted me, but who knows.
That poll is hinky as all getout. Maybe interesting just for talking purposes, but I don't believe it accurately reflects the electorate or the election.
For talking purposes, the overnight move is millenials falling off. African American support is at the "usual" low level (it jumps up from 5% to 15% from time to time). I think that reflects the core of Crooked's support - millenials and younger. Trump has not made much of a move to court this group, but he has courted them. He gave a "Millenials speech" a couple weeks ago, but hasn't repeated the points.
I believe his advisers know what they are doing, and if the election turns on adding the "cheaper college" theme to his routine delivery, he'll do that.
Meanwhile, recall how quickly things went from "Trump is in trouble at the convention" to "Trump will take it," literally overnight with the primary win in Indiana. After that, Cruz suspended his campaign, and it was over. The media-generated optic up to that instant (and it was literally the instant the Cruz announced he would suspend) was that Trump was in trouble. But he wasn't in trouble, even if he'd lost Indiana. The general election is the same effect. The press will insist that reality is, Trump is in trouble, close race as election day comes up, to energize DEM voters. The press follows a script, not facts.