Didn’t the New York Times chastise this poll a week ago? Ever since then Trump has been slipping... Hummmm
In an article that was published a few days after Nate Cohn’s NYT piece one of the persons responsible for the USC poll wrote a reply. He claimed that they did not see much difference whether they corrected for the results of last election or not. It was not quite clear from that article whether USC had decided to remove that correction from their methods or not, but it is a fact that from that day on the poll tightened considerably, and Trump has never had above 6% AA support since then.