I don’t like the looks of this.
This is the highest she’s been and the lowest he’s been since early September before the 9/11 collapse.
And I’m not being a concern troll.
IIRC, this poll is still using D+8 methodology. I think.
If still within MOE with D+8, then we’re sitting pretty.
Relax... if she breaks 45%, its time to panic.
Let’s see if this is a fluctuation rather than a real break in the overall trend.
1 is not outside margin of error. Still essentially tied but he should be way ahead. This poll had him leading for some time. The speech at Gettysburg apparently didn’t help but it was not well covered. FOX did not cover it in its entirety and the rest essentially ignored it.
A group from church that I work with was 50/50 in Sep. today 100% Trump. She whose name shall not be spoken has such high negatives that even die hard dems are walking away. Keep the faith baby!
Compare the volume of "air" (that space between the candidates numbers when one candidate has been leading consistently). When Trump was running strong in late July and again from September 12 to October 10, there was a lot of "air" or divergence between his numbers and Hillary's.
Now look at those periods when Hillary led - much smaller volume of "air" for her.
Now look at those times when the polls have tightened and were flat-lining for awhile. Look at the days when Hillary broke out above Trump on August 12, 23 and 26, and again on September 7. They either quickly reversed or were very brief rallies that lasted no more than 5 days or so. She can't build momentum.
Hope this is a little more encouraging!