Hillary is not going to get a better turnout than Obama.
Her rallies are sparsely attended.
D +9 certainly holds up - in an alternate universe.
It’s not just party demographics skewing this. It’s what kind of men. You have to have a pretty special sample to get Hillary ahead with men. Polling of white men with no college degree show Trump so strongly favored one would have to essentially leave them out to find anyway she could win the male vote. But there is no way in he’ll they aren’t showing up this cycle...they are gonna be voting in droves.