Posted on 10/23/2016 4:48:02 AM PDT by Alas Babylon!
The Talk Shows
Oct 23th, 2016
Guests to be interviewed today on major television talk shows:
FOX NEWS SUNDAY (Fox Network): Trump Campaign Manager Kellyanne Conway; Rep. Xavier Becerra, D-Calif.; former House Speaker Newt Gingrich.
MEET THE PRESS (NBC): Conway; Democratic vice presidential nominee Tim Kaine.
FACE THE NATION (CBS): Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus.
THIS WEEK (ABC): Eric Trump, son of Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump; Joel Benenson, adviser to Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton; independent presidential candidate Evan McMullin; Defense Secretary Ash Carter.
STATE OF THE UNION (CNN): Conway; Clinton campaign manager Robby Mook.
She needs more like 105% of the black vote like Obama got and it is very likely Trump will pull 25%+.
There are $Trillions and Trillions at risk if Trump wins. Every dirty trick is being used to maintain the rigged system.
Good question, however...
Are they still campaigning in Philadelphia?
I know Obama was there about 5 weeks ago but are they going back?
I feel about Pennsylvania they way Charlie Brown SHOULD feel about Lucy holding the football....
BLM just happened to meet at the WH a couple weeks ago and they have shut down until after the election. What a coincidence.
Or, if you’re in Maine, snowshoes and mittens...
Wait a minute, that’s MOST of the year in Maine!
Another thing that bothers me about polling is the sampling. When I studied random polling as part of an advanced statistics graduate course in the mid-70s there was no such thing as selective sampling. Only either registered or likely voters. A perfect random sample can do a nationwide poll of 1012 with an error margin +- 4%.
The rub is how to make it truly random. Back then the sample method was phone landlines sometimes cross-tabbed to voting lists. The only issue is that it doesn't capture voters without phones. None of this 36% republican, 43% democrat selection.
Today it is impossible to capture anything close to a true random. Cellphones or landlines, with caller-id how many even bother to answer much less refuse to cough up 15 minutes of precious time. Response rates ,I hear, are 15% or less. How do you capture those demographics. People who work all day are not going to answer an unknown call during the day and at night. Elderly, the affirmed, people not working are more likely with time on their hands to talk.
Which categories do you think the likely Trump or Clinton voters fall into?
Just sent it out to several people with a request to pass on. Your last paragraph about Lincoln, McClellan and Grant is an interesting parallel.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3483814/posts
HEY!
They could be “siked” as well.
They did THAT to the TEA Party, imho.
The ones on the right side of this diagram get thrown out! Do not allow them in at all.
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this could be big,
http://victuruslibertas.com/2016/10/hillarys-33000-deleted-emails-to-be-leaked-by-fbi/ ,p> Pissed off FBI guys make make some noise 11/1 could be good
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Below is page one of the guy was just on ABc with stuffy stepinit Benenson who polled over 2000 people and found his candidate is in dire straits:
..............................
Interviews with 2,021 adult Americans conducted by telephone by BSG on October 10-13, 2016. The margin of sampling error for results
based on the total sample is plus or minus 2 percentage points. The sample uses a LVS based on voting history (65%), self-attestation (12%),
social-media data mining (10%), demographic / socio-economic class (18%). This sample includes 1101 interviews among landline
respondents and 920 interviews among cell phone respondents. NO SKEWS OR NARRATIVE SCREENS WERE EMPLOYED Executive Overview: Hillary Clinton Flash-Crash to 12% Favorable, Losing 19-77% Nationally
At this point Donald Trump has both momentum and enthusiasm. Distrust in the mainstream media is blunting the impact of the
collective polling narrative. As Election Day approaches, Hillary Clintons favorable ratings have crashed to historic lows (12%) in nonpartisans
and Donald Trump is consolidating support (97% of LV Republican-identifying respondents are either enthusiastic or very
enthusiastic about voting for Trump).
Among independents, Hillary voters who are exposed to any alternative media (73%) are aware of the WikiLeaks emails and find them
either disturbing (54%) or deeply disturbing (18%). Among liberal-identifying whites, support is shifting from Hillary (-27 since October
1st) to Donald Trump (78%) or Jill Stein (21%). For voters who solely consume mainstream media only 28% are aware of the WikiLeaks emails and of those, only 8% are aware of the content. For these voters Clinton leads Trump by +8.
Minority voters are less likely to consume alternative media (only 14%) and are less likely to be aware of the email leak (only 18% for males, 9% for females. Even with this group, enthusiasm is down 63 points compared to October 2008. On other fronts, the counter-narrative is failing as well. Most heavy consumers of social media understand that the allegations against Donald Trump of sexual misconduct have largely been debunked (77%). We understand that communications strategies in that space have been unable to reduce the impact of this messaging. Worse, among white males in telephone polling 93% of them either approve (72%) or strongly approve (21%) of Donald Trumps hot-mic tape.
Only 39% of women approve of them however a majority (64%) say they understand that confident men talk that way. In effect, these allegations have been diffused.
On a positive note, most respondents who were liberal-leaning (83%) or Independent (59%) were unaware of the messaging front concerning Bill Clintons sexual misconduct. While the vast majority (88%) were aware of consensual extra-marital relationships, the mainstream media approach to the stories has left only 8% of liberal-leaning voters and only 19% of independents aware of the allegations of rape.
On a disturbing note, some 70% of Republican-leaning voters are aware
It only gets worse as well,shes done
Yes! Well, my mental process translated that first to "sicked" of "sic'd", like one commands the dog, "sic 'em!"
I'm glad we each have different mental processes, and I have little room to criticize the way other people spell and express themselves.
Mark Twain was mistaken. media elites should be first, not lawyers.
Adding, "at a bordello with a nasty case of diarrhea connected to a slaughterhouse."
PA is a tough one, but his jobs message may be getting through? The question will be if Philly will continue to vote Party over employment?
Quote:
“They want to be like cuba where everyone is poor and they all depend on the govt. which owns everything.Its called communism.”
Wrong. The government won’t “own everything.” Government approved corporations will own everything. That’s called Fascism.
And that’s exactly what this county will deserve if it elects Hillary Clinton.
When is the Enquirer story coming out? Is it this week?
there is some great stuff on the web about how blm has conspired with both loretta lynch and zero to keep trump out.pretty spicy stuff.
http://allnewspipeline.com/BLM_Pushes_For_Martial_Law_And_No_Election.php
They were going for martial law but looks like it didn’t happen at least yet....
Well, I didn’t write that quote.
Tell Bray :-)
But Glen Beck said that Hillary is the moral choice?
for sure
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