Like most of us, I’ve spent a lot of time thinking about the disconnect of polls and reality. I don’t think there is a media conspiracy to propagandize the polls - I just don’t think they’re taking the grand realignment into account. D/R/I isn’t how we’re made up so much anymore.
The customary D/R/I split doesn’t make sense anymore. Some use D+6, others R+1, etc. they just have no idea what the split is.. it’s all over the place (like the polls). The grand realignment is taking some D, some R, and some I into an “America first” group ... generally speaking. Lots of Rs became Is and more than ever before lots of Ds will vote R.
I don’t think the polls are capturing the monster vote either. How could they? The tracking polls attempt to do so but I still think they’re missing a lot. They still use the old D/R/I paradigm?
This election is not being measured well because of the grand realignment and a higher-than-ever monster vote/Bradley effect. I don’t think any outfit has any freaking idea what will happen. If I just look at anecdotal evidence, I see a Trump win. The ONLY evidence of a Hellery win is the polls - and they’re out of focus IMO.
Well here’s to hoping for a Trump landslide! The alternative is actually unthinkable.
I recently journeyed across 14 states. What I noticed was apparent apathy. There were almost no Hillary signs. The largest number and only place with Hillary signs was in a Santa Fe neighborhood. There was only one other sign in all the other 13 states.
As a matter of fact, there were more Johnson signs. There were but few Trump signs and they were in groups. The greenie lady had more signs than hillary
Then there are the daily rally’s. Hillary has none and has given up. There is no turnout of consequence. Trump has standing room only attendance with many disappointed folks turned away.
Conclusion: Apathy will mean low turnout for those polled for Hillary.
Exhilaration will mean greater than polled turnout for Trump.