Posted on 10/22/2016 12:11:32 AM PDT by BlessedBeGod
|
|
10/22 |
10/21 |
Change |
|
Trump |
44.3 |
44.5 |
- . 2 |
|
Clinton |
44.1 |
43.8 |
+ . 3 |
Hostages in Iran.
If Hillary was truly popular, she should be able to take the lead.
If she can’t do it heading into the last week of October, she’ll never be able to do it.
Its over. maybe but you underestimate the commie media. it is in full tilt
That and families like mine, Dems for generations, simply flipped to Reagan.
We all [except for the pedo uncle and his wife] switched to [R] soon after.
If he keeps hammering message home for next 16 days, he will win.>>> agreed but he is hammering to supporters. why did he not hammer at the debate. it is a national stage. ignore questions take charge and make your case to the people.
We also heard runaway inflation. Today’s economy is no better, but in a very different way.
Reagan was “real”.
We liked him.
Just like Trump.
“
Reagan understood that the voters wanted a safe, responsible alternative to a failed Jimmy Carter and he gave them exactly that.”
Exactly. With inflation at 22.3 percent a year (in September 1980), interest rates at 11.25 percent, and unemployment at 7.5 percent.. not to mention the Iran hostages and American decline in the face of Soviet expansionism, people were ready for a major course correction. Reagan effectively articulated what that course correction would be.
Since some of us already voted, all we can do is wait and see if the country goes along with us.
No one knows yet the outcome even though MSM and the establishment fully expect Hillary to win.
And then he delivered!
Interesting that the younger FR crowd didn't know the simplest reason that voters broke for Reagan. 'Had to have lived it, I guess. :-\
Polling illegals again
“I really don’t believe in this poll. It’s like that people’s decision is a “random number” than flips at every hour.”
There have been plenty of polls that have had big shifts and inconsistencies, all along. I certainly wouldn’t place a bet based on any of them. Further, the idea of ‘averaging’ all the polls to get a more accurate number also seems crazy to me. If I’ve done 12 statistically flawed experiments I should just average them and believe the results? Polling is a big business, and generates news stories, but it does a disservice to our Republic to use polling to push the result in one direction or another - and it often is used in this manner.
The internals are such that two fine Amish young men - 1 for Trump, 1 for Cankles - are moving this poll +/-1 on the given day that is their turn to be interviewed.
I also get that not understanding the internals is too much temptation for most people, and they must talk about the poll. I get that.
"If a poll has a small number of people who belong to a particular group — young black men, for example — there’s always a risk that those few respondents won’t truly represent the group’s views.In the case of the Daybreak poll, there’s one young black respondent who is a strong supporter of Trump. He hasn’t responded to the poll every week, but when he does, he pushes up Trump’s number among African Americans.
When the poll’s results shift suddenly, the margin of error increases. That should be a red flag for everyone that such a blip in the poll’s results may simply be statistical noise, not a real shift in public opinion...
He did have some impact on Trump’s support some weeks — often less than a point, but definitely a measurable difference. It’s not a huge shift, but if several small shifts all move in the same direction, they can add up. Of course, the whole point of weighting is to make sure that all groups are represented; Trump does have some young supporters, even among minority groups.
There’s another young, black man in the poll who is a strong Clinton supporter. When he participates, he pushes up Clinton’s vote. Both men have strong weights in the poll because they are part of a group that would otherwise be underrepresented."
I think so. But maybe an old pic? Note there’s no handrail, on the steps.
The Iran hostage thing was big at the time. I remember the big fear in gop circles at the time (I was working the election) was that Carter would bring home the hostages as a late October surprise. It didn’t materialize.
While the press was in the Carter camp, it was nowhere near as overt as it is this time with the witch.
Don’t underestimate the leftscum. There is a very real chance of fraud tipping the election, with the full aid and comfort of the media.
Turnout is the number 1, 2, and 3 issue.
“Interesting that the younger FR crowd didn’t know the simplest reason...”
Hah...I actually forgot that and I “lived” thru it. It’s embarrassing how much I forget these days. Sigh.
(Khomeini hacked that election!)
I hope he can be as clear and concise as the first Rep. President - 242 words spoken that changed the world.
lol...
The internals are such that two fine Amish young men
__
1 lesbian illegal keeps getting polled 3x in each survey.
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