[SteveO87]

So we know the tracking polls that have Trump leading.
There are several national polls with Clinton up. Two of them, Reuters and YouGov have Dem +14 and Dem +18 samples.
How can any reasonable person say that Clinton is winning when she has a 4 point lead in these?
Additionally, the Arizona poll has something like Dem+30 or so and it has her up 5.
I know the whole unskewing of the polls was questioned in 2012 but this is ridiculous.

[Alberta's Child]

I would suggest that this is probably the first election of my lifetime where the party affiliations of the voters will be almost inconsequential.

Hillary Clinton is going to get a lot of votes from Republicans -- especially women who are incapable of thinking clearly.

Conversely, Donald Trump is going to get a lot of votes from Democrats -- especially middle-class and lower-class white men. I also think he's going to do surprisingly well among black and Hispanic men who would never vote for a psychotic, screeching banshee like Hillary.