USC Dornsife/LA Times Poll: 10/20 -- Trump + .3 , Clinton - .1

LA Times ^ | October 20, 2016 | LA Times

[BlessedBeGod]

	10/20	10/19	Change
Trump	44.4	44.1	+ . 3
Clinton	43.8	43.9	- . 1

[tjd1454]

Good post

[conservativepoet]

CNN focus group (TRUMP WON 10-5)

http://www.butasforme.com/post/152066358781/cnn-focus-group-declares-trump-the-winner-5

[Sooth2222]

"Most Freepers know that the averages have been skewed by intentionally distorted polling."

Reading through the comments, I'm not sure about that. Like many things, most polling firms aren't very good at what they do. Would you want to consult a surgeon whose last 10 patients had died?

I still have a land line but like everyone else have caller ID and pick up the phone maybe 10% of the time. The 2012 polling results suggest that a sample of people with land lines who pick up the phone and talk to pollsters isn't the same as a sample of people who vote.

Gallup, that has been polling presidential elections since 1936 did so badly in 2012 that they gave up. I would be skeptical of any poll that uses the same 1936 methodology -- which is probably the vast majority of published polls today.

[spokeshave]

Too many unknowns. I am curious how the undecideds and most of those claiming to back 3rd party candidates will break.

Historically...they have always tended towards the leader.

Everyone loves a leader

The 3rd party candidates are just that ...a diminishing 3rd.

Are you better off now than 8 years ago..?

[GrandJediMasterYoda]

I hope you are right. I pointed out to some people the other day that around this this time in October of 1980 Reagan was polling at 39% and Carter was at 45% and Reagan went on to win by one of the biggest landslides in US history. But of course back then the Ted Kennedy immigration act hadn’t yet changed the demographics of the country, Reagan won California AND New York which is just about impossible today for a Republican.

[ecomcon]

Her closing seemed memorized, like she knew it was coming. She’s 100% fake,

[Prince of Space]

You’re right, of course. I always get them mixed up. I should know better too because my husband is related to him (like 15th cousin or something).