Posted on 10/19/2016 9:47:46 AM PDT by IBD editorial writer
After more than a week of blistering attacks from Democrats, celebrities and the press, Donald Trump has managed to pull ahead of Hillary Clinton by 1 percentage point 41.3% to 40% in a four-way matchup, according to the new IBD/TIPP poll released today. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson got 8% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein got 6%. The results are the first in the IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. Daily updates start Thursday and will continue until the election. The IBD/TIPP poll previously was monitoring support for the candidates in the 2016 election on a monthly basis.
(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
Heard today that the bitch of Benghazi plans on having an hispanic maid that works at one of Trump’s golf course to slam him by saying he called her a wetback or another disparging name. I’m guessing she’ll wait for her closure before springing the latest bought and paid for liar for Clinton, so Trump can’t have much of a comeback, or Wallace will say it’s time for the debate to end so he has 30 seconds. Then you’ll see this same pobre criada on CNN every day till election day.
Turned in my absentee ballad this past saturday...PROUDLY marking it for Trump/Pence
She is leading by double digits and the race is over. So, all of her supporters need to stay home and don’t waste any of that expensive gasoline.
I also guess this means they won’t be having to drive anyone to the polls or hand out money to get the homeless to vote. They’ve got it in the bag. /s
Very sad it is this close. Seriously.
It makes me feel even better. "Some" Trump votes are "parked" with Johnson. I doubt he will win anywhere near 8%.
In 2012, Johnson won 0.99% and Jill Stein won 0.36%. I expect Johnson to get into the low single digits, and maybe Stein, too. But not 8% and 6%.
Jill Stein saying that Clinton will start WW III and Trump won't makes me optimistic about Trump winning some of those votes, too.
I read today that Trump is now outspending Clinton on ads.
I have little doubt that among voters with land lines only who have nothing better to do than to talk with a pollster -- Hillary really is leading!
But according to CBS he is down 9 points and according to them, no cadidate has ever made up that much ground to win.
IT’ THE MSM’S LATEST DIRTY TRICK!!!!
Wrong. Wrong! WRONG! They're just lazy and/or stupid, parroting disinformation from the DNC:
"In a Gallup poll on October 26th in 1980, two weeks before the election, Gallup had it Jimmy Carter 47, Ronald Reagan 39."
And THAT happened long before everybody and his grandmother went wireless.
I just look at the top half-dozen or so polls based on their 2012 performance, and discard the rest as noise.
But it isn't that Trump needs to "make up ground". The issue is that almost all pollsters are bad at what they do.
If Gallup, a firm that has polled presidential elections successfully since 1936 gave up after 2012, I'm skeptical that newcomers using the same 1936 polling techniques can provide accurate estimates in 2016.
I believe that is proprietary to our pollster, but I can check.
I was curiuos on the sampling
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