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To: rb22982

For the current election cycle, 538 has analyzed 17 polls from IBD/TIPP and they have given that pollster an A minus rating. They have an average error rate of 2.3, they have called 78% of races correctly and they have shown a 0.7% Republican bias. All those scores are excellent.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

By way of contrast, Selzer & Company has a A plus rating. 37 polls analyzed, simple average error 4.6, 84% of races called correctly and 0.0 partisan bias.
Selzer is currently polling for Bloomberg News and they have the race with Clinton up by 9 in the 4-way.
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-10-19/national-poll


67 posted on 10/20/2016 8:34:47 AM PDT by Nero Germanicus
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To: Nero Germanicus
I don't care about 538's ratings TBH. He had Brexit at 15% chance and blew a ton of races badly in 2014.

Bloomberg is massively anti-trump and wikileaks show he talked HRC people about cabinet position. We'll see what their poll for this race looks like on election day but I bet it won't be +9.

68 posted on 10/20/2016 8:49:03 AM PDT by rb22982
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