The two key states are Ohio and Florida. Trump really needs to win both. If he loses either, I don’t see having enough electoral votes to win in the end.
The dead voter count and the double-vote count will matter in both states.
I think he will win FL and OH...but the way the map is shaking out, Colorado becomes very important, unless he can win PA.
I don’t know who will win...but I do know HRC won’t win by 14 points, or whatever nonsense NBC is putting out.