I think he will win FL and OH...but the way the map is shaking out, Colorado becomes very important, unless he can win PA.
I don’t know who will win...but I do know HRC won’t win by 14 points, or whatever nonsense NBC is putting out.
Typically, an election outcome would flip if just 2-3% or so of the electorate flipped their votes.
Bush 1’s margin of victory in the 1988 landslide was less than 8%. That after riding Reagan’s 18% landslide in 1984.
Obama won reelection by less than 4%. That Hillary would double that margin is laughable.
The dead guy and illegal vote are more important in the swing states.
I’ll bet if you went to California...you probably won’t find more than 500 dead votes in the entire state. In a state like Ohio....maybe 3,000 or more.
I recall from 2008, there was some group which compared registered voters in Florida to a New York state listing, and came up with a minimum of 250 people...mostly retirees...who were registered in both states and voting in both states.