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ACTUARIAL REVIEW: Analysis of Recent Polls Shows Trump Win and Possible Landslide
The Gateway Pundit ^ | October 18, 2016 | Jim Hoft

Posted on 10/18/2016 10:00:28 AM PDT by bobsunshine

Ann Coulter warned in her book Slander in 2003 that the far left main stream media always uses polls to push their agenda. Polls can be skewed by selecting an unreasonable sample size, by asking lead up questions or by selecting more of a sample population of one side of an issue to achieve a desired result.

Main stream media skews polls to discourage potential voters from voting and has done it for years.

A good example of the media trying to shape a vote was in 1980. In a Gallup poll released on October 26th in 1980, two weeks before the election, Jimmy Carter was leading Ronald Reagan 47 – 39. Two weeks later Reagan won in such a landslide that Carter conceded before California was closed.

(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; polls; trump
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To: rigelkentaurus
My understanding is that the final Reagan-Carter poll taken, on Monday before the election, showing Reagan with a tiny lead, which was the very first time they showed him leading, was not released to the public until after the election.

My first election was Carter prior to this and being an impressionable survivor growing up through the hippie( either became outcast commies or yuppie commies) anti war years I voted Carter and ended up losing my job and almost lost my college days.

In the Carter vs Reagan election all you heard was how great Jimmah Peanut boy was doing in the polls and you didn't want to vote for "Bonzo" Reagan who couldn't even remember a few Hollywood lines. There was a real grass roots silent majority push back but this Trump campaign is huge comparatively.

He(Reagan) was already demonized back in the Woodstock days by Joan Baez and others. But the economy was so danged bad it was impossible for any thinker to vote Carter twice. That was the election I got a real dose of what was written and what was actually true/real.

41 posted on 10/18/2016 11:31:41 AM PDT by Karliner (Jeremiah29:11,Romans8:28 Isa 17, Damascus has fallen)
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To: MaxistheBest
Interesting point. I did notice that in one poll internals (I cant remember which one), but I remember the college degree number at 50% or so and thought to myself if that is the makeup of the average electorate today. That answer is no. College does not make one smarter today as they act as liberal propaganda camps.

That all being said, ATM, I do not see polls showing a Trump landslide. On 911 when hillary insulted american voters and passed out due to hiding her poor health, that might have been the case.

42 posted on 10/18/2016 11:36:35 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: bobsunshine

The polls are so blatantly biased that the results are absurd. I don’t think the Liberal Media are going to correct the polls near November 8. The Liberal Media, including Murdoch News, is going to do its best to convince Trump supporters that all hope is lost for them. They have gone all in.


43 posted on 10/18/2016 11:43:16 AM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: BroJoeK

I think the people are more polarized than ever. I doubt there are as many undecideds as they say. And I doubt there are any people that are going to change their minds.

I think the people planning to vote for Trump will crawl over broken glass to vote for him (or against Clinton). I expect high turnout - for Trump at least.

If the tape-gate scandal failed to change people’s minds, I don’t think anything will.

I think the debates are stupid - all he has to do is “survive” this last debate without his pants falling down, and he’ll retain whatever support he has now.

The question is, how much support does he have? Hopefully, the polls are wrong, and other indicators suggesting a lot of Trump support, such as yard signs, rally attendance and enthusiasm, etc. will be correct.

OK, so there’s my optimistic outlook.

When I think of the huge number of morons there are for each intelligent person I meet, that’s when my pessimism comes out.

Keeping fingers crossed.


44 posted on 10/18/2016 11:43:30 AM PDT by enumerated
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To: Karliner

Do I remember those days in 1980. I was 15 and unlike my fellow 15 year olds, I was politically aware. The big 3(ABC,CBS,NBC) were screaming Carter landslide.

This year reminds me of 1980, by the media desperation.


45 posted on 10/18/2016 11:43:47 AM PDT by DallasBiff (Lautenberg The Forefather of "The Nanny State!")
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To: DallasBiff
Good you were a smart young teen. There are few teens that know politics so you were a rarity indeed. There really are a lot of parallels with 1980 except this election is just so danged criminal beyond my comprehension.

During the Carter years I was appalled and downright scared to tell anyone I voted for him especially when the Iranian crisis hit then the economy just fell apart. I bought in to the leftist propaganda because family and friends said so not to mention the professors. After that election I really began studying the pros and cons and ramifications.

46 posted on 10/18/2016 12:10:45 PM PDT by Karliner (Jeremiah29:11,Romans8:28 Isa 17, Damascus has fallen)
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To: bobsunshine

Dana Perino said we should believe the polls. And just like that (sound of fingers snapping) I stopped watching The Five.


47 posted on 10/18/2016 12:20:02 PM PDT by BAW (It's gunna be Yuge!)
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To: enumerated

Your post #26, very well said and sentiments with which most Trump supporters will agree and identify.


48 posted on 10/18/2016 12:20:37 PM PDT by luvbach1 (We are finished. It will just take a while before everyone realizes it.)
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To: KavMan
If the polling is all wrong, how come TRUMP is leading in some States?

Perhaps his real lead is much more in those states.

49 posted on 10/18/2016 12:24:31 PM PDT by luvbach1 (We are finished. It will just take a while before everyone realizes it.)
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To: enumerated; All

Well put!

B U M P


50 posted on 10/18/2016 12:25:22 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (My Batting Average( 1,000) since Nov 2014 (GOPe is that easy to read))
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To: SMARTY
She needs to lose AND go away!!!

That she will lose the vote is assured, but that doesn't mean she will not be sworn in.

51 posted on 10/18/2016 12:27:42 PM PDT by itsahoot (GOP says, Vote Trump. But if your principles won't let you, Hillary is OK.)
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

See post 36 on this tread.......That is what I saw in Brexit...it is the hidden vote, no pollster can find ut...not that they want to..

Good luck great post, well said.


52 posted on 10/18/2016 12:28:27 PM PDT by crazycat
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To: meatloaf
I’m not sure they can get away with enough fraud to cover the turn out of voters for Trump.

We only have 11,000,000 illegals but 65 million that don't speak English and you don't think they can manipulate an election. Alrighty then

53 posted on 10/18/2016 12:32:41 PM PDT by itsahoot (GOP says, Vote Trump. But if your principles won't let you, Hillary is OK.)
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To: bobsunshine

Polls are NOT news..........


54 posted on 10/18/2016 12:37:24 PM PDT by Osage Orange (Cover up after cover up...OUR GOVERNMENT is OUT OF CONTROL)
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To: bobsunshine

I’m unclear with the logic. If you thought your candidate was behind wouldn’t that encourage MORE to go out and vote to make sure they DO win?


55 posted on 10/18/2016 12:39:33 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat
bobsunshine, NEVER and I mean NEVER in my lifetime seen the enthusiasm, there have been custom painted cars, trucks, boats, HUGE 18 wheeler rigs, crop fields over this country with Trumps name it has REALLY BEEN AMAZING!!!

Me neither and I remember Truman loses. I also remember these quotes.....

It is enough that the people know there was an election. The people who cast the votes decide nothing. The people who count the votes decide everything. Joseph Stalin

If voting made any difference they wouldn't let us do it."
Mark Twain -


56 posted on 10/18/2016 12:40:59 PM PDT by itsahoot (GOP says, Vote Trump. But if your principles won't let you, Hillary is OK.)
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To: enumerated

Bump. Accolades to you. Excellent post.


57 posted on 10/18/2016 12:41:19 PM PDT by upchuck (Trump to the White House!! Hillary to the Big House!! h/t Jim Robinson)
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To: itsahoot

Unless minors can vote, I’m not worried.


58 posted on 10/18/2016 12:54:53 PM PDT by meatloaf (I am one irritated Vet.)
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To: bobsunshine

Anybody who believes that Gary Johnson is getting 7% isn’t thinking straight. IMO at least half of those votes will break for Trump when they actually get in the voting booth.


59 posted on 10/18/2016 12:56:49 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: ripnbang

These state polls were taken last week. There is no way to say a poll is actuate if it includes data from last Wednesday.


60 posted on 10/18/2016 1:05:08 PM PDT by cowboyusa
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