[NELSON111]

Yea it will. But my point is it will be localized. It won’t be widespread like we have seen with other storms....especially north of Georgia (SC/NC). But a lot of that will depend on the track. If it loops back out quickly then there will be very little impacts. If it stalls more to the north, there certainly will be a lot of fresh water flooding, mostly N of SC. Lots of scenarios right now. I’ll be honest: I’ve been doing this professionally for 29 years (mostly focused on tropical meteorology) and I’ve been into watching hurricanes for almost 40...and this is a very unusual storm. He idea that a 4 could track up most of the FL east coast is crazy. However, if this was happening on the west coast, it would be massively worse since they are far more vulnerable to storm surge due to the continental shelf. Glad I’m watching it from a distance.

[dirtboy]

For the Carolinas, it all depends upon the timing of the start of the forecast loop. Right now, that is trending later and further up the coast, which is not good.

It does look like on radar that an eyewall replacement cycle might be happening. Good news is that would mean somewhat weaker winds. Bad news means a bigger eye that could push further inland from the coast.

[rodguy911]

.....I’ll be honest: I’ve been doing this professionally for 29 years (mostly focused on tropical meteorology) and I’ve been into watching hurricanes for almost 40...and this is a very unusual storm. He idea that a 4 could track up most of the FL east coast is crazy......

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Thank you for making my point