Trump had a horrid week, and the polls reflect that. He has been hammered with Machado, taxes, poorly-perceived debate performance, endorsements from repubs/papers. On the other side, Hillary’s bad news has been her slap at Bernie basement dwellers.
I am not going down the “polls are all wrong” circle jerk. The narrative has got to change and in a hurry.
Trump is doing fine.
I mean D + oversampled polls are a joke.
They keep playing around with party ID to show Hillary ahead.
If all she can manage is being up 1 point within the MOE - she’s done.
There’s no enthusiasm for her as even pro-Hillary polls like this one demonstrate.
“I am not going down the “polls are all wrong” circle jerk”
In 2012, I got caught up in ‘unskew the polls’, etc...and I swore that I would not buy in to the notion that the polls are wrong, again.
But it is very hard to resist. There may just be a ‘hidden’ group of voters out there...people who are so tired of politics that they haven’t voted in years...who are excited by Trump. He’s the ‘anti-candidate’ - why would we expect standard polling methods to apply?
But I do think trends are important - and last week’s trend was down for Trump. Even if one doesn’t necessarily believe Rasmussen, the trend is still unfavorable, no matter how you slice it.
Still, honestly I have no idea what may happen on election day. It could go either way. I will say this, though: I believe Trump will get more votes than McCain or Romney did. That’s important, since Romney managed to get fewer votes than McCain. How do I know? Just basing it on primary turnout. So Hillary has a fairly high bar, to beat Barry’s turnout.
1. Bombard the airwaves with ads.. what the hell is he waiting for? I've heard about the $140mm in purchases but haven't seen much evidence yet (not talking about NYC metro area either). She has ads around the clock lying about her accomplishments and lying about Trump. ads help correct the record!
2. Go on the offensive during the next 2 debates.. don't let this vermin call you, and all of us, racist, misogynistic, crooked, strange, thieves... and we don't give a rat's ass about Chelsea the disgusting pig... hit all of the important points. Ask for moderator if he wants to join Clinton on the dais. Come up with a zinger like Reagan's "there you go again". Stop being Mr. Nice Guy... Romney the jerk tried that- look at what happened
3. Stay out of the weeds. Don't tweet about petty crap... let surrogates do it.. speaking of surrogates, why isn't Pence playing that role? He seems to want to stay above the fray and not get his hands dirty. That's so messed up. A guy like Allen West (my first choice all along) would have been perfect as a VP... Pence needs to get into the fight- fully engaged alraeady
We can't rely on Wikileaks's or other stuff to come out... Trumo needs to take control of the narrative... if the media is blocking him out (except for negatives), he must use every tool at his disposal and take charge already... Blanket the airwaves with ads- to reduce his negatives and increase her's... you don't become President with approval in the 30s, no matter how awful your opponent is... just my 2c