Posted on 09/20/2016 11:34:23 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT
West Long Branch, NJ - Hillary Clinton holds a 5 point lead over Donald Trump in the crucial swing state of Florida. This is slightly less than the 9 point lead she held in a Monmouth University Poll of Sunshine State voters taken last month. Sen. Marco Rubio is currently locked in a tight race with his Democratic challenger Patrick Murphy, ahead by a statistically insignificant 2 points after leading by 5 in August. The poll also found that voters are skeptical of Trump's recent attempt to draw a line under the Pres. Obama birther controversy.
Among Florida voters likely to participate in November's presidential election, 46% currently support Clinton and 41% back Trump. Another 6% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 1% support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, with 5% who are undecided. This compares to Monmouth's August poll which had Clinton at 48%, Trump 39%, Johnson 6%, and Stein 1%.
That’s awesome. Is that from Les Miserables? Lyrics?
Not sure how he can get 3, unless I’m missing something. He’s winning big in CD2, and tied across the state... I believe that CD1 is more populous than CD2.. So... if he wins CD2, he gets 1 vote. If he wins the state, it also means he gets CD1... So... It’s either 4 votes or 1... Is that correct?
Trump has FL locked up already, Mammouth is way outside the curve and has been for some time. Even 538 as slanted and biased as its analytics are has recoginized Trump has FL.. Finally gave him NC and NV as well.. but they are still cooking their books... clearly changed something in their algorithm at the beginning of Sept, as you can see the movement of the projection line moves off the average and slows down on a lesser angle right around Sept 1, even after the events of 9/9 to 9/11 its still on a lesser progression to prior to 9/1... But even with their continued cooking of the books they pretty much have given Trump these states... he’s 1 small state away from having 270 even in their cooked predictions.
Clinton has no lead in FL and isn’t tied in NC... outlier.
-PJ
I didn’t know you could post like that....may we make it a concert??
This is a high energy music video in support of Trump for the deplorables:)
Sarah Barracuda; TigerClaws; combat_boots; Shark24; A CA Guy; detective; advertising gu
This is just to keep that issue alive.
The 2 extra votes go to who gets the MOST votes in the state... Trump doesn’t have to win CD1.. just get a combined vote total of CD1 and CD2, that is higher than Hillary’s total for CD1 and CD2... Trump blows out CD2 and does will in CD1, but his combined vote total is higher than Hills, eh gets 1 for CD2 and 2 for the overall state 1, and Hill gets 1 for winning CD1.
You can lose CD1 and still win the state vote total.
All the polls are good for is showing trends. If even that. Beyond that they’re pretty much useless.
The handwringing is becoming tedious.
I don’t know the +18 breakdown, but as of 2010, CD1 = 637k, whereas CD2 = 664k. I’m pretty sure it would be impossible to make different congressional districts half the population of the other, because that’s not how congressional districting work.
Actually I believe this is his best Maine statewide showing in any poll. He has always been up in CD-2.
Totally useless...any poll with a MOE over 3 is garbage
Got it... Thanks for clarifying.
True, we have a long way to go.
Skewed WAY to female.
Trump is up 3 in Nevada and up 1 in NC.
https://twitter.com/KellyannePolls/status/778273680715505664
https://twitter.com/KellyannePolls/status/778277310529048576
Here is what I know. There is a 98% chance that Trump wins now and this race is over.
I would love for you to be right, but how do you know that?
___________________
It is in what and how Trump is communicating and how Hillary and Obama are communicating. Trump is communicating using some very powerful persuasion techniques that have been used over decades by advertising executives and in psychological warfare.
How effective is he? He has beaten 16 republican opponents and Hillary who is outspending him 30 to 1 has Trump up 7 in the polls. This race was not even close and never has been.
These days Trump sets the agenda and all Hillary and Obama can do is parse his words. They don’t look like they are in the game anymore except to nip at his heels like some little 10 lb dogs. Hillary does not look like she has any policies or anything serious to say. She just whines about what Trump is saying. Trump has marginalized them.
Again, you have no idea how powerful Trump is in his understanding of psychological warfare and advertising techniques. Very, very few people do!
In the next few days, you will see Trump turn up the volume at fevered pitch because he knows he is winning big but what he wants is a landslide like a 10 point win so he can govern and get everything he wants. Trump is now everywhere and he is seen by at least over 10 million people per day when you include surrogates and media.
Hillary is nowhere to be found. Her crowd sizes are so small that they have to edit youtube videos to not make her look like the faiure that she is. It is as if Hillary’s staff has given up and so has Hillary.
Again you have to understand what Trump is doing on a psychological level otherwise 99.99% of people miss it but they are very heavily influenced by it.
As I said, there is now a 98% chance Trump wins.
He’s been close in the past few polls, this is the first time I’ve seen a dead heat. If he’s even in Maine, he has to be even or ahead I NH... Surprised that we haven’t seen many polls there in a long time
-PJ
Not sure what polls you are referring to, she’s gone from High single/double digits down to low to mid single digits.. doesn’t really come across as the sky is falling for Trump from what I see.
Poll over samples Ds and Is under samples R voters
check actual FL registration numbers here
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3471525/posts
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