Posted on 08/24/2016 8:28:00 PM PDT by Rufus Shinra
Donald Trump’s new campaign manager Kellyanne Conway said in an interview today that Trump is performing much better in polls than the mainstream media is reporting.
During an interview with UK’s Channel 4, Conway was asked asked about recent poll numbers showing Donald Trump trailing Hillary Clinton in key swing states, as well as nationally. She brought up an interesting point, and one that many Donald Trump supporters have been suggesting for some time, and that is the vast difference between online polling and human interaction polls.
Kellyanne Conway stated that their campaign’s internal polling is confidential, but she did say that polling is very unique to Donald Trump. “Donald Trump performs consistently better in online polling where a human being is not talking to another human being about what he or she may do in elections,” she explained.
She claimed that the difference is in part due to it not being “socially desirable” to admit to a stranger that you’re a Trump supporter, and the “hidden Trump vote” is a very significant factor.
The interviewer admitted that the pollsters got it “spectacularly wrong” when it came to the Brexit results, and asked Conway if she thought something similar to that could happen in the US election.
Conway responded:
Yes, everybody who was looking at this calmly and objectively thinks that … I think if the elites – what I call the wrist-flickers – are just dismissing that – oh Donald Trump can never be president, oh Brexit is so – it’s just for these unwashed rubes, these hillbillies with no teeth and long hair. I mean that’s just unfair.”
Finally, Kellyanne Conway concluded this topic by saying the Trump campaign is performing a project called, “undercover Trump voter”, stating that this phenomenon is real , and if you talk to people around the country you will see it’s real as well.
Although mainstream media pundits and pollsters will likely scoff at this notion, let’s not remember what the owner of the highly praised statistical website Five Thirty Eight, Nate Silver, said about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the primary:
“For this reason alone, Trump has a better chance of cameoing in another “Home Alone” movie with Macaulay Culkin — or playing in the NBA Finals — than winning the Republican nomination.,”
– Nate Silver, July 16th, 2015.
“The lesson … is that Trump’s campaign will fail by one means or another. Like Cain, Bachmann and Gingrich, Buchanan, Huckabee and Forbes came nowhere close to winning the Republican nomination,” Silver wrote. He pegged Trump’s odds of winning the nomination at 2 percent, and laid out the so-called “six stages of doom” for his campaign.
– Nate Silver, Aug 6th, 2015.
Nate Silver certainly wasn’t alone in doubting Trump’s chances of ever becoming the Republican party’s presidential candidate, and every single one was proved wrong.
It’s certainly not too far fetched to peg the current mainstream polls showing enormous Hillary Clinton leads as unreliable, since this election has broken historic records that no one could have predicted.
Donald Trump also has the advantage of the first-time and disenfranchised voters, who would not be included in standard polls because the pollsters typically only reach out to “likely voters.” Likely voters are classified as those who have voted within the past two election cycles.
In fact, back in November of 2015, a 92 year old woman who had never voted in her life, came out to a Trump rally to tell him that she will be casting her first vote for him in the upcoming election.
Millions of American’s who have had no past interest in politics, or felt that no candidate has ever spoken for their concerns, have come out in force to rally behind Donald Trump this year. If enough of them cast their votes on November 8th, the pundits could be proved terribly wrong once again.
The political pundits and pollsters would have to throw out every algorithm they’ve ever constructed for presidential polling if Donald Trump were to win this year, and that wouldn’t be a bad thing at all.
The full Kellyanne Conway interview can be viewed here.
They are relieving their Angst RoT by projection. Look @ Don Lemon the other day trying to Beeotch slap Kellyann Conway. Ditto that Liberals getting mean on social media. IHMO they know by the rallies. Also is it Ed Rollins that said he who as the best looking women in the crowd win! The women at Trump rallies are stunning. Not to mention my axiom, he who has the coolest bumper music wins. AKA Jacob Seales and all his toons but one you may have heard "American Dreamer"....
In terms of Prozac our adversaries in the arena of ideas are gonna need a Xanny the size of a Watermelon on 11/9/16... :-)
Jacob Seales here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xO4hgd1ZnQw
I am beginning to think she is a loud-mouth media hog, basking in attention, talking to talk. If she doesn’t get in line behind Trump, she’ll be gone soon. I don’t like her. Besides, she’s a pain to look at.
We were out in the Bloomsburg area, looking at the college for my daughter with a quick swing by Knoebels to ride the roller coasters, I saw hundreds of Trump signs... coal country.
My nephew is in Jersey chapter of Students for Trump..those 2 twins that run it are Hot! The same two that are in those american flag bikini pics with the Regan and Trump hats.
Thumbs up SJB!
I’ve watched several interviews of Kellyanne Conway.
Her measurement of what is the proper way for Trump to campaign is how hard it might be for her to explain it to her 4 children.
For example, it appears the term ‘Hillary Rotten Clinton’ is too personally demeaning to Hillary, and thus difficult for her to explain to her children: therefore she is opposed to Trump using that name.
One helleva hire she was.
I hope she doesn’t run him into the ground.
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