It was the pundits that were ignoring the polls and predicting Trumps demise.
I personally am not discounting the polls, but draw most of my faith in a Trump wins not from Trumps numbers but from Hillary's.
As long as Hillary's numbers everywhere stay stuck in the low 40’s, I think Trump will win. If we start getting consistent polling showing Hillary above 50% .. it's over in my opinion. My theory is that Hillary's support is capped in the low 40’s nearly everywhere, while Trump floor is around 40%, and that the missing 15-20% will eventually come around to Trump.
One thing to add ... You aren’t going to see Trump move in the polls until October ... I’ll bet the election remains kind of flat until the first debate.
Trump’s campaign is going to start airing ads ... I’ll bet they’ll ramp up in frequency until the first debate. After that I’m hoping for a blitz throughout October. If that’s their strategy, there are going to be a lot of nervous people posting Hillary friendly polls for another month :-). If Trumps numbers don’t improve throughout October, I’ll be nervous.
Bottom line, the campaign is going to start next month, so please try and do your best to ignore these polls for now :-) (not saying this to you TexasFreeper ... Mainly to people nervous in general ... While I’ve certainly been wrong about many things, I’m pretty sure I’m right about this strategy).
I think Trump has done an outstanding job solidifying his base during his campaign stops this summer. This final phase should grow his support and push him over the top. It’s gonna be HUGE!!! :-)