Trump voters like me, will not answer the phone if they don’t recognize the caller.
Take a face to face poll on the street.
Thank God Al Gore invented Call-ID....
I disconnected my landline years ago and carry only a cellphone. I also never pick up unless I know who’s calling. I carefully maintain my address book so that I link names to the phone numbers of people I want to have contact with. Otherwise the call is shunted to voice mail. I may or may not get back to you but if I do, I create a new address book entry for that number. If you don’t leave a voice mail I definitely won’t get back to you. Not ever.
I know I am not alone.
According to PEW, (no time to dig up the references now) the response rate to polls was 9% in 2012, and 8% in 2014. That is more than 90% of people called refuse to answer or take part in the poll.
Some research was published in the WaPo, showing no increase error rate in polls from 1998 to 2012 (iirc) despite the response rate going from +30% to less than 10%. That may well be true, but the pollsters are skating on very thin ice. With such a small proportion of the population actually taking part in polls, there needs to be only a very small difference between the responding and the non-responding cohort for the polls to be totally skewed.
PEW published a recent experiment (a FR-thread a few days ago) where they had asked republican voters in three different ways if they were voting for Trump. It was clear that a total anonymous internet poll gave larger response for Trump than an automated phone call, which was more positive than a personal phone call.
Interestingly enough if the same question was asked about Jebb Bush there was no difference between the different ways of polling. (!!!!!!)
I believe this makes the polls almost completely useless this time around.
I believe the polls are being pumped up majorly for Hitlery for two reasons:
- when the rigging of the machines gives her the win, everyone can not be surprised because the polls predicted it, and
- if Trump actually wins, they can call fraud because the results don’t match the polls.
Slimy, lying, deceitful, corrupt dems. They’ll do and say anything for power. I think The Donald is brilliant by saying he will always tell the truth. This is Hitlery’s weak spot (one of the many).
Thanks for another great thread!