Posted on 08/18/2016 3:19:56 AM PDT by Ken H
Aug 16 => HC 44.3; DT 43.2 Trending favorably the last few days.
Link to poll => http://cesrusc.org/election/
CANKLES HAS BEEN SEEN A HALF A DOZEN TIMES IN THE LAST SIX MONTHS TO AUDIENCES OF DOZENS
PRESIDENT TRUMP HAS BEEN SEEN BY THOUSANDS INSIDE AN ARENA AND THOUSANDS OUTSIDE, EVERY STINKIN' DAY AND SOMETIMES TWICE A DAY.
Demographics:
Aug 12 vs. Aug 17 (polling dates):
a) High school or less:
Aug 12: DT +0.9 Aug 17 DT:+ 13.6
b)African-Americans
Trump from 3.2% to 14.6%
Clinton from 90.3% to 79.7%
(a swing of ~22 points)
c) Males
Aug 12: DT: +4.6 Aug 17: DT:+12.0
d) 18-34
Aug 12: HC: +12.0 Aug 17: HC:+4.6
They have to keep hitlary’s numbers close to even with Trump or she will totally fade off into “fat land”.
There is no way “thunder thighs” is even close to Trumps numbers, hers are fabricated. As was stated, her “crowds” are but a handful while Trump’s are in the thousands.
Its a dead heat.
Hillary’s support is soft and no one likes her.
All the enthusiasm and momentum is with Trump.
When it comes to who’ll come out to vote, you don’t have to guess very hard Hillary will poll less than her stated lead.
Way less!
So how come the swing States are trending all toward Hillary with pretty huge leads?
Looks like Trump has gained with blacks. That’s going to be an interesting trend to watch after his speech the other day. I hope he keeps those themes in the mix.
Nice visual. Helps explain the problems with the polls.
They are?
If Hillary is ahead is in them, why are the polls tied?
She should be up by double digits.
In August 1988, Dukakis enjoyed a near 20-point lead.
Hillary can only manage to come out ahead by a squeaker.
Latest Quinnipiac Poll has TRUMP down 10 points in CO & down 12 points in important VA!!!
They are not. In fact Crooked Hillary has pretty much written off PA, only campaigning in Philadelphia. Why would she even bother with Philly if she thought she had the state locked up? Well she needs 120% of the Philly vote instead of the traditional 110%.
Polls are typically using 2012 turnout methodology when we know that Republican enthusiasm is much higher this year based on the primaries. If polls were using R +1 instead of D +5 turnout models we would have polls closer to reality. Then add in that Trump has double digit lead among Independents.
If those numbers and blacks hold up, Hillary is going to lose.
A Democrat needs to win 90-95% of the black vote to win a national election.
Here she is getting 84-86% of the black vote! Just terrible.
And she’s behind with men by double digits and her support among millenials has flatlined.
People who say the Witch Of Chappaqua is way ahead aren’t looking at these numbers.
The MSM won’t discuss them.
“Latest Quinnipiac Poll has TRUMP down 10 points in CO & down 12 points in important VA!!!”
Virginia is the center of the Never Trump universe. It is where all the GrOP-E flunkies live. I bet as Trump solidifies his lead those fools - at least some of them - see the light.
I have no clue about Colorado
Sure. What’s the party breakdown? I’d love to see why its showing Trump is going down to defeat in CO and VA.
Trump has campaigned in CT, WI and CO - states you normally don’t see a GOP candidate travel to.
Hillary hasn’t traveled much since her convention ended in late July.
This Election is scaring the shit out of me! I’m just going to gp to sleep on Election night & when I wake up it better be President TRUMP!
Trump doesn’t need CO or VA.
To win, he needs to take PA, OH and FL.
Those three states are the path to the WH. Take two of them and its more than enough.
The fact Hillary is up in states won by Obama in 2012 doesn’t show us the whole picture.
I’m not betting on TRUMP winning cocktease PA!
We need VA!!!
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