These are the oversample values for the most recent poll for a pollster in a state. Look at Florida (FL) a poll from PPP oversampled Dems 4.5 vs what Gallup said it should be. Yougov (Today BTW) 4.0, Quinnipiac 7.5, etc... Yougov today had Hillary +5, but with a dem oversample of 4.0, the outcome depends on the indepenndents because between D and R it is a dead heat. Hillary is +1 over Dem party ID difference. It is also dependent on turnout D vs R. It isn’t going to be D+6 like it was in 2012.
What’s the difference between figures within parentheses and not?
Thank you very much