Posted on 08/11/2016 5:56:23 AM PDT by Maelstorm
Is the air going out of Hillary Clinton’s post-convention bounce?
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online White House Watch survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows the Democratic nominee with 43% support to Donald Trump’s 40%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson picks up eight percent (8%) of the vote, while Green Party nominee Jill Stein trails with two percent (2%). Four percent (4%) like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Last week, the first weekly survey following the Democratic national convention, found Clinton with 44%, Trump at 40%, Johnson at six percent (6%) and Stein with three percent (3%). It was Clinton’s biggest lead over her Republican rival since June. Trump reached a high of 44% support in mid-July.
Clinton continues to earn more support among voters in her party (82%) than Trump does in his (74%). But the GOP nominee still holds a slight lead – 37% to 32% - among voters not affiliated with either major political party. Both Clinton and Trump draw just over 10% support from voters in the opposing party.
Johnson has nine percent (9%) GOP support, three percent (3%) of the Democratic vote and 15% of unaffiliated voters. Stein gets the votes of one percent (1%) of Republicans, one percent (1%) of Democrats and three percent (3%) of unaffiliateds.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 9-10, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
[Rasmussen Reports analysts Amy Holmes and Fran Coombs are available for interested media. Please call 732-776-9777 ext. 205 for interviews.]
President Obama last week denounced Trump as “unfit to serve” and “woefully unprepared to do this job.” Nearly half of voters agree, but they’re not so sure Clinton is up to the job either.
Clinton leads by 12 points among women, while Trump has a five-point advantage among men. The Democrat has a double-digit lead among those under 40. Trump is ahead only slightly among older voters.
Johnson runs best among men and younger voters.
Trump gets 20% black support to Clinton’s 72%. She also leads by 13 among other minority voters, while her GOP rival is ahead by six points among whites.
Clinton leads among those who work for the government, while private sector employees are evenly divided between the two major candidates.
The economy remains the number one issue for all voters this election cycle, but Republicans are a lot more worried about national security than Democrats and unaffiliated voters are.
Clinton and many other Democrats avoid using the term "radical Islamic terrorism" publicly because they believe it implicates all Muslims for the actions of extremists. Trump and many Republicans place high importance on the language, saying an enemy cannot be defeated if it is not identified by name. Sixty percent (60%) of voters continue to believe the United States is at war with radical Islamic terrorism.
Wall Street Journal columnist Peggy Noonan wrote earlier this year that the only person who can beat Trump is Trump himself, and so far voters think that's exactly what he's doing.
But GOP voters still prefer a party that’s more like Trump than one that’s more like House Speaker Paul Ryan, the highest ranking Republican in Congress.
More poll B.S.
Fourth poll in three days showing Cankles’ “lead” evaporating. I don’t think she ever led, or certainly led by more than a couple.
Do these polls reflect all the CHEATING the DemocRATS will do on election day? #blackliesmatter
I never answer the land line. Period. Anyone with whom I'd like to speak knows to call my cell. I only have a landline because my cable bill was cheaper with it than without it.
8% be feelin’ their Johnson!
This is the only thing that caught my eye. If Trump gets 20% of AA votes he wins. Analysis has shown Johnson is taking more Hillary votes than Trump.
http://thefederalist.com/2014/11/19/polling-postmortem-the-best-and-worst-senate-polls-of-2014/
please note how awful
Ppp Cnn Fox Cbs Reuters were
But Trump made fun of a Muslim gold star family and it swung the polls 10 points against him! /s
With caller ID, I don’t even pickup the phone unless I know who it is.
The internals of this poll make no sense. If Trump is getting 20% of the black vote it’s party over for Hillary. There is also no way that he is only 5 ahead with men. The Never Trumpers though are concern. If Trump is really only getting 74% of R’s that’s a problem. 85% of R’s and this thing is tied or he’s ahead.
It’s been said, but if only Teumpmwould start running some ads.
Hillary and her campaign (the MSM) must be really frustrated that their attacks on Trump are starting to backfire or just aren’t working.
The anti-Trump ads being run incessantly during the Olympics are awful. They use a clip from a David Letterman interview to slam Trump? Really? Can’t wait to see what Manafort has is store. I get the feeling it will be a s*** storm on HiLIARy, but he’s keeping his powder dry for now.
What is noteworthy in this poll is the following:
“Trump gets 20% black support to Clinton’s 72%. She also leads by 13 among other minority voters, while her GOP rival is ahead by six points among whites. “
In 2004 Bush only got 11%. This is very interesting.
Everybody thinks Trump will destroy Hillary in the debates. I am not so sure. The moderators’ questions to Trump will be nothing but attacks. The only way Trump escapes and does damage to Hillary is to expose this obvious bias to the audience by calling it out, followed by “Why are you not asking Hillary about X,Y or Z?
I saw a new anti- Trump ad here in Florida last night with a gold star mom bashing Trump for “attacking” the Khans. Pathetic.
According to polls of his supporters, Johnson draws roughly as many people who voted for Obama in the last election as he does people who voted for Romney. Having Johnson in the race probably won't affect Trump or Hillary's margins one way or the other.
2012 had Hurricane Sandy and Christie helping Obama at the very end and all the late polls showed movement towards Obama. Plus, it was Mittons. Personally, I’d prefer a 3 presidential and mid-term election average and some of these have changed their methodology since 2012.
I don’t think they’ll all be attacks. Some will be baited to try to get him to give them a negative soundbite.
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