Posted on 08/04/2016 8:36:29 AM PDT by usafa92
A post-convention bounce appears to have given Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton her biggest lead over Republican rival Donald Trump since June in our latest weekly White House Watch survey. This is the first update that includes both the Libertarian and Green Party candidates.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds Clinton with 44% support to Republican nominee Donald Trump’s 40%. Six percent (6%) prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, while three percent (3%) back Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Another three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Clinton and Trump were virtually dead even over the previous two weeks. Support for Clinton ties its highest level in Rasmussen Reports tracking since October of last year. Trump reached a high of 44% support in mid-July. Support for Johnson is down slightly from a high of nine percent (9%) a month ago. This is the first survey to include Stein.
Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans now support Trump, down from 86% a week ago, while Clinton’s support among Democrats has risen from 79% last week to 82% this week. Fourteen percent (14%) of Republicans now prefer Clinton, while 11% of Democrats support Trump.
Trump once again leads Clinton among voters not affiliated with either party 41% to 29% after Clinton held a five-point lead a week ago. Johnson draws support from three percent (3%) of Republicans, two percent (2%) of Democrats and 14% of voters not affiliated with either party. Stein picks up five percent (5%) of the vote from unaffiliateds and just two percent (2%) support each from Republicans and Democrats.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 1-2, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Voters followed both national political conventions with equal interest but think Clinton benefited more from hers than Trump did from his. Clinton leads Trump 50% to 32% among women this week, a significantly larger gap from last week. Trump leads 49% to 37% among men, also a noticeable jump from a week ago.
Clinton has bounced back into contention in the key state of Nevada in a survey conducted after the convention. Voters are very suspicious about the 30,000 e-mails Clinton and her staff chose to delete and not turn over to the FBI and aren’t all together sure it would be a bad thing if Russia returned those e-mails to investigators here. The FBI has concluded that Clinton potentially exposed top secret information to hostile countries when she illegally used a private e-mail server as secretary of State. Most voters disagree with FBI Director James Comey’s decision not to seek a criminal indictment against the Democratic presidential nominee.
Despite complaints from progressives in her party, Clinton’s decision to make Virginia Senator Tim Kaine her running mate makes little difference to voters. Voters are strongly convinced that Bill Clinton will be involved in his wife’s policy decisions if she is elected to the White House this fall.
Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.
Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free) or follow us on Twitter or Facebook. Let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.
Needs to be noted that Trump has made a 1 point and a 2 point improvement in the Reuters Poll and the YouGov Poll from last week. So it appears that if there was a real problem it is turning back.
Republicans listening to the media is like a WW2 GI getting battle strategy from Tokyo Rose.
It doesn’t get much more stupid than that, and it happens every election.
Just heard CBS “report” that “the people” don’t like Trump and he is down 15 points. Stop taking this crap and battle back Donald.
And damn the GOP to hell.
I'm sorry about your mother. She was a democrat I assume?
I would love to hear more details of this transformation? What did he say that resonated with you?
Thank you
My thoughts exactly. One thing I will definitely give Trump credit for is that he exposed that the GOP was never actually serious about border security. Well...not getting my money then.
Thanks for your condolences.
Yes, my family were democrats. My mother was born in Baltimore in 1924 and she passed away in October 2012. She suffered from dementia/Alzheimers and had fractured a leg.
She had gone into assisted living and was actually placed in the same room with her older sister, my Aunt, who I also lost in July 2013. My Aunt was a World War II Navy nurse and missed her 100th birthday by 17 days.
My mother luckily did not linger in pain and died the day after the break. She had just turned 88.
While my family were Maryland democrats, I was the real political animal, if you will. My mother always told me how dirty politics was. She was, of course, wise about that but politics was my first passion. It was an awakening as a young girl, when I discovered that I shared the same birth date as John F. Kennedy (May 29). I was born on his 43rd birthday in 1960.
I admired him and Hubert Humphrey. At sixteen, I warned my relatives about not voting for Carter. While I did end up voting for Reagan in both of my first two General Elections, my next genuine democratic hero was Gary Hart. I did a little volunteer door-to-door work for Hart and was devastated when Mondale edged him out with super delegates despite the fact that Hart won more primaries, including California. I voted for Bush ‘41 both times, although I liked Quayle more than Bush and hoped he would have run for the White House. I did vote for Clinton in 1996 and Gore in 2000. In 2004, I voted for Bush ‘43 to keep Kerry out (I had hoped Hart would make another stand but he declined and was briefly behind Howard Dean). I voted for Obama in 2008, largely due to his stories about how his mother died from cancer while struggling with insurance forms. I am grateful to Obama for having been made eligible for medicaid (the first time I’ve had coverage and I am now 56).
I did follow Mittens for over 8 years but thankfully never wasted a vote on him since he’s proven himself to be a jerk.
AS FAR AS WHAT TRUMP SAID OR DID THAT TRANSFORMED ME:
I first took notice of him during his encounter with Megyn Kelly in the first debate and loved how he dealt with her.
His strong message about stopping illegal immigration{BUILDING THAT WALL} and defeating terrorism propelled me to jump aboard the Trump Train. He even made me change my views on gun control. I had always detested the NRA but Trump opened my eyes by explaining how different outcomes may be in places like Paris and here in San Bernadino if legal citizens are armed and fire bullets in the opposite direction. I now feel gun-free zones are absurd and only serve to make innocent people, including schoolchildren sitting ducks. It also would be wonderful to have products made in America again and blue collar workers earning living wages. All of these factors, coupled with my profound, visceral disgust at how weak our country has become, motivated me to switch party affiliation back in March to vote for Trump on April 26 in Maryland. Finally, I relish how Trump eschews political correctness, warns how we are committing national suicide by not naming our enemy and doing things like waterboarding and it’s also refreshing to see him fight to abolish the Johnson amendment to regain freedom of speech for churches.
Sean Hannity said if Trump loses put the loss squarely on Ryan, Romney, the Bushes, and the other GOPe who refuse to endorse him or if like Ryan, said they would vote for him but attacks him each and every day. They’re all a bunch of rotten bastards and if Trump loses it’s because they supported Hillary Clinton and that means they are anti-American to the core and think about enriching themselves over the survival of the Republican. If that lying, thieving bitch gets in office this country is finished. Obama almost did himself, she’ll finish the job. And the GOPe could care less. Add Cruz and his brain-dead Cruzbots to the list that want Clinton elected.
Stephananopolis: His wife was right there beside him, why do you she didn’t speak.
Trump: Well I don’t know, I really don’t know, there muslim, that might be it”.
What in the holy hell did Trump said in that sentence that was the worst thing anyone in the history of the world has said? Not a thing, as a matter of fact he told the truth. The Kahns are strict Muslims and women don’t speak until their spoken too and have their husband’s permission.
That the media was allowed to tar and feather Donald Trump for saying nothing that was not true and not the first Republican, other than Lou Dobbs to stand up for him, and to side with the liberal media in his tank-down is BS of of the highest order.
Trump being made out to be the most racist person that ever lived for stating the truth and the GOP agreed with em.
Hillary just said she’d raise taxes a trillion dollars or whatever and the prostitutes in the MSM barely bat an eye. Trump makes one comment and they turn it into nuclear war. This is war, IMO. The enemy must be destroyed.
And the pile on continues. Clinton up 15. Trump in the low 30s, yes you read it right, the low 30s.
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article93763582.html
This is getting so ridiculous I expect to see a South Carolina and Alabama poll come out tomorrow showing the bitch from hell leading. I’m serious.
OK, I have a serious question here: What are the chances that WE (by “we” I mean ALL people that are sick of the media, including the Bern-fans) could organize a MASS nationwide protest of the MSMedia?
By protest I mean SURROUNDING AND DISRUPTING the headquarters of these evil people in New York, La, Chicago etc.
Does anyone think that would actually work? And I mean protests on a scale that would make BLM look like child’s play?
Perhaps if they saw their safe-spaces SURROUNDED by THOUSANDS of angry Americans of all shapes, sizes and Political persuasion they might turn from their Gestapo like ways.
If this were true, the MSMedia would be doing everything in their power to make sure the GOP supported Trump. The fact the media and their overlords in the Dem Party want them out is PROOF that these polls are absolute lies.
If this were true, the MSMedia would be doing everything in their power to make sure the GOP supported Trump. The fact the media and their overlords in the Dem Party want them out is PROOF that these polls are absolute lies.
These nevertrumpers are driving me nuts! What are they thinking??
Cruzbots Tara Setmeyer and Cruz’s shack-up Amanda Carpenter are on CNN every night giggling with delight that the bitch from hell is leading Trump. They are members in good standing of the Republicans for Hillary. Both of them agree 100% with any negative Trump crap that comes down. Jeffrey Lord needs to get combat pay for working for CNN. All the libs on their stupid ass “panel” gang up on him every night and that includes the Cruzbots, to slam every word that comes out of Trump’s mouth.
If the election were today, it would be a slaughter.
It doesn’t read like a serious question.
Trump needs to not jump right into the traps the Democrats set for him and he should be in good shape...he’s bounced back from doing this several times and he can do it again. However, if he keeps letting them play him like a fiddle anymore from this point forward it will become increasingly difficult. It appears the refrain from the other side is that Hillary may be criminally corrupt, but at least she’s sane (supposedly). Hillary and the media got Trump to act exactly the way they wanted with that fallen soldier’s parents - couldn’t have been better for them had they hypnotized him - and there’s little doubt that was coordinated with the media - especially since the interview was done by Stephanapolous, who is still a Clinton operative. Sometimes the standard political “No comment” line is the best thing to say...I believe he would still be clearly ahead in most polls if he had sad that instead of waging war against that guy. And he needs to start waging the living room campaign with ads immediately or it will also become much more difficult.
Remember, Hillary’s husband was elected with only 43% of the vote so “under 50%” is necessarily an indicator that she’s in trouble. I don’t think whoever wins this will be at 50%.
Don’t think so. Look at reuters poll this evening.
Still don’t believe these polls. Trump is ahead until the media beats him or he lets them beat him.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.