Registered voters and not likely voters.
They reveal one demographic — party affiliation
26% Republican
33% Democrat
40% Independent
We don’t know region, gender, etc.
For all we know, these were all blue state women.
This oversamples Ds by 4, plus you have the old “registered voters”-—but with ALL of these polls, the total sample is much bigger, i.e., about 200 larger of “adults” of which “x” are registered voters.
So what is being concealed here is what % of the “final” sample are “adults.” If 10%, that’s big.
Either way, I think right how this is pretty much a tie-—but again, that’s based on 2012 turnout models. Does anyone think Cankles will get the same turnout as Barry? Obama got 66m, Romney 61m.
Can Cankles get 66m? I seriously doubt it. Can Trump exceed 61m? Based on primary turnout, you’d have to guess these numbers will at least be reversed.